Cincinnati Financial Reports Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.27 in 2023, Missing Expectations by $0.01

February 7, 2023

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The company has attributed the miss to higher-than-expected weather-related catastrophe losses, along with increased expenses in certain businesses. Despite the Q4 earnings miss, Cincinnati Financial ($NASDAQ:CINF)’s stock price rose 4 percent in after-hours trading on Tuesday, reflecting investors’ optimism in the company’s long-term prospects. Overall, Cincinnati Financial reported a solid fourth quarter, with total revenues increasing and net premiums earned meeting expectations. While the company missed its earnings expectations, investors remain confident in the company’s long-term prospects, as evidenced by Tuesday’s after-hours surge in stock price.

Stock Price

This news caused media exposure to be mostly negative, as the market was expecting a slightly higher number. Despite the slightly lower than expected earnings, Cincinnati Financial stock opened at $114.6 and closed at $115.3, up by 0.1% from its previous closing price of $115.1. This suggests that investors are not overly concerned about the Q4 earnings miss, and instead are still optimistic about the company prospects going forward. The company offers its services through its subsidiaries, The Cincinnati Insurance Company, The Cincinnati Indemnity Company, and The Cincinnati Casualty Company. The company’s revenue comes primarily from the sale of property and casualty insurance policies to individuals and businesses.

Its products include auto, home, business, and professional liability insurance. It also provides reinsurance services and offers a range of investment products to its customers. Going forward, it will be interesting to see how Cincinnati Financial performs in the future given the Q4 earnings miss. If the company can continue to provide quality products and services, investors may remain optimistic about the company’s future prospects despite the initial disappointment. Live Quote…

About the Company

  • Industry Classification
  • Key Executives
  • Ownership (Institutional/ Fund Holdings)
  • News Feed
  • Income Snapshot

    Below shows the total revenue, net income and net margin for Cincinnati Financial. More…

    Total Revenues Net Income Net Margin
    6.56k -486 -7.4%
  • Income Statement Reports (Yearly/ Quarterly/ LTM)
  • Income Supplement
  • Growth Performance
  • Cash Flow Snapshot

    Below shows the cash from operations, investing and financing for Cincinnati Financial. More…

    Operations Investing Financing
    1.88k -1.06k -685
  • Cash Flow Statement (Yearly/ Quarterly/ LTM)
  • Cash Flow Supplement
  • Balance Sheet Snapshot

    Below shows the total assets, liabilities and book value per share for Cincinnati Financial. More…

    Total Assets Total Liabilities Book Value Per Share
    29.74k 19.2k 67.03
  • Balance Sheet (Yearly/ Quarterly)
  • Balance Sheet Supplement
  • Key Ratios Snapshot

    Some of the financial key ratios for Cincinnati Financial are shown below. More…

    3Y Rev Growth 3Y Operating Profit Growth Operating Margin
    -6.1% -9.8%
    FCF Margin ROE ROA
    28.5% -4.0% -1.3%
  • Income Statement Ratios
  • Balance Sheet Ratios
  • Cash Flow Ratios
  • Valuation Ratios
  • Other Ratios
  • Other Supplementary Items
  • Analysis

    GoodWhale conducted an analysis of CINCINNATI FINANCIAL‘s financial wellbeing, using its Star Chart. The results showed that the company is particularly strong in dividend distribution, but weak in asset and growth, as well as profitability. It scored highly in terms of cashflow and debt, with a health score of 7/10, indicating that it is capable of sustaining future operations even in times of crisis. Based on GoodWhale’s analysis, CINCINNATI FINANCIAL is classified as a “cow” – a type of company that has the track record of paying out consistent and sustainable dividends. This type of company may interest various types of investors, including those seeking regular income or those who are looking for stability and capital preservation. More generally, the analysis of CINCINNATI FINANCIAL’s financial wellbeing provides insights into how investors can evaluate companies to determine their suitability for their own portfolio. By understanding the strengths and weaknesses of a company’s financials, investors can make more informed decisions about where to allocate their capital. Furthermore, companies can use this analysis to identify areas where they need to improve their financial performance in order to attract investors. More…

  • Risk Rating Analysis
  • Star Chart Analysis
  • Valuation Analysis


  • Peers

    Cincinnati Financial Corp, Mercury General Corp, United Fire Group Inc, and FedNat Holding Co are all insurance companies. They offer similar products and services, but each has its own strengths and weaknesses. Cincinnati Financial Corp is the largest of the four, with the most assets and the most customers. Mercury General Corp has the most diverse product line, offering everything from auto insurance to life insurance. United Fire Group Inc is the most innovative of the four, constantly developing new products and services. FedNat Holding Co is the most stable of the four, with a strong financial rating and a long history of profitability.

    – Mercury General Corp ($NYSE:MCY)

    Mercury General Corporation is an insurance holding company that, through its subsidiaries, provides personal automobile insurance in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Personal Auto, Commercial Auto, Other Business, and Investment.

    Mercury General’s market cap has declined significantly over the past few years, from over $5 billion in 2015 to just over $1.6 billion as of 2022. The company’s return on equity has also been negative in recent years, reaching -16.66% in 2021.

    The company has struggled in recent years due to a combination of factors, including increased competition, higher claims costs, and lower investment returns. Mercury General has taken steps to improve its financial performance, including reducing expenses and increasing its focus on higher-margin business segments. However, it remains to be seen whether these efforts will be enough to turn the company around in the long term.

    – United Fire Group Inc ($NASDAQ:UFCS)

    United Fire Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides insurance protection in the property and casualty market for individuals, families, and businesses worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Property and Casualty, Reinsurance, and Life. The Property and Casualty segment offers commercial and personal lines of property and casualty insurance products, including automobile, homeowners, workers’ compensation, general liability, commercial multi-peril, and commercial automobile insurance products; and reinsurance products. The Reinsurance segment provides property and casualty reinsurance products. The Life segment offers life insurance and annuity products. United Fire Group, Inc. was founded in 1834 and is headquartered in Cedar Rapids, Iowa.

    – FedNat Holding Co ($NASDAQ:FNHC)

    Founded in 1934, Federated National Holding Company is a provider of personal and commercial property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company operates through the following segments: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, and Specialty Lines. Federated National Holding Company offers its products through a network of independent agents and brokers.

    Summary

    Cincinnati Financial has reported a non-GAAP EPS of $1.27 in 2023, missing analyst expectations by a single penny. This has caused media coverage of the company to be largely negative. Investors should consider the financial results of the company, including its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow, to assess the long-term performance of the company. Additionally, any potential changes in management and strategy, as well as any market factors that may impact the company, should be taken into account when making an investment decision.

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