Toll Brothers Set to Reveal Q3 Earnings: A Fundamental and Technical Analysis

August 23, 2023


Toll Brothers, the renowned luxury home building company, is scheduled to announce its third-quarter earnings results on August 23, 2023. As investors and analysts eagerly await the financial update, this article will delve into a comprehensive analysis from a fundamental and technical standpoint to provide insights into the company’s performance, historical guidance, and analyst estimates.

Fundamental Analysis:

ReportDate NetIncome TotalRevenue DilutedEPS unit
Q2 2023-04-30 320.2 2507.0 2.85 million USD
Q1 2023-01-31 191.5 1780.2 1.70 million USD
Q4 2022-10-31 640.5 3712.1 5.63 million USD
Q3 2022-07-31 273.5 2494.8 2.35 million USD
Q2 2022-04-30 220.6 2277.5 1.85 million USD

Toll Brothers‘ Q2 2023 financials demonstrated strong growth with a net income of $320.2 million and total revenue of $2,507 million. The diluted EPS stood at $2.85 million, highlighting the company’s ability to generate profitable returns. Furthermore, the consistent increase in net income over the past year showcases Toll Brothers‘ resilient performance.

Historical Guidance:

Examining Toll Brothers‘ past three-month price performance, we observe a fluctuating pattern. Over this period, the stock’s low was at $74.3, the high at $83.7, with a recent change of -1.3%. Nevertheless, the overall trend reveals a positive change of 16% since three months ago. It is crucial to monitor these trends as they provide valuable insights into the potential direction of the company’s stock price.

Technical Analysis:

since low high change change%
1D 2023-08-21 74.3 76.8 -1.3 -1.7
5D 2023-08-15 74.3 82.5 -6.3 -7.8
1M 2023-07-21 74.3 82.5 -3.7 -4.7
3M 2023-05-22 63.3 83.7 10.3 16.0

From a technical perspective, Toll Brothers‘ stock has experienced volatility over the past few months. However, the recent dip in its price prior to the earnings call presents an opportunity for investors to consider entering the market. Utilizing technical indicators such as moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), and Bollinger Bands can help investors gauge the stock’s potential future movement.

Analyst Estimates:

MorningStar consensus estimates for Toll Brothers‘ earnings per share (EPS) in Q3 2023 stand at $2.68 per share. It is noteworthy that this estimate has remained unchanged in the seven-day period leading up to the earnings call, instilling confidence in the company’s consistent performance. Additionally, the progressive increase in EPS estimates over the past 90 days further suggests positive expectations from analysts.

Investor Takeaway:

Toll Brothers‘ upcoming earnings call provides investors with a unique opportunity to gain valuable insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction. By assessing the fundamental analysis, historical guidance, and analyst estimates, investors can make well-informed decisions.

From a fundamental standpoint, Toll Brothers has showcased impressive growth in net income and total revenue. This signifies the company’s ability to turn a profit amidst market fluctuations, demonstrating its resilience and strong financial position.

Considering the historical guidance, Toll Brothers‘ stock has displayed both short-term volatility and overall positive performance. This presents investors with an attractive proposition, as the recent decrease in stock price potentially opens up an entry point.

Furthermore, analyst estimates suggest a consistent EPS estimate of $2.68 per share for Q3 2023. Such stability indicates that analysts have confidence in Toll Brothers‘ ability to meet expectations based on its compelling track record.


In light of Toll Brothers‘ impending Q3 earnings call, investors and analysts are presented with a unique opportunity to gain insights into the company’s financials, growth trajectory, and industry outlook. By considering a blend of fundamental and technical analysis, historical guidance, and expert analyst estimates, stakeholders can make informed decisions.

As Toll Brothers prepares to disclose its financial performance, it is crucial for investors to monitor these key indicators closely. The earnings call will shed light on Toll Brothers‘ strategic initiatives, market position, and potential future growth opportunities. Stay tuned for Toll Brothers‘ upcoming earnings call on August 23, 2023, at 8:30 AM EST, as it promises to be a significant event for investors and industry enthusiasts alike.

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