Greenbrier Cos. Q3 Earnings Call – Analysing Fundamentals, Technicals, Historical Guidance and Analysts Estimates

June 23, 2023

🌥️Greenbrier Cos. (NYSE: GBX), a leading international supplier of transportation equipment and services to the railroad industry, is set to announce its financial results for the third quarter of 2023 on June 29, 2023, at 11:00 AM EST. This report will be watched by industry analysts, investors, and shareholders alike, who will be keen to understand how the company has performed over recent months.

In this article, we will delve into Greenbrier Cos.’s historical guidance, financial performance, technical indicators, and analysts’ estimates to assess the company’s upcoming earnings call. By examining multiple perspectives, we aim to provide readers with a holistic understanding of the company’s current position and potential future prospects.

Fundamental Analysis:

ReportDate NetIncome TotalRevenue DilutedEPS unit
Q2 2023-02-28 33.1 1122.0 0.97 million USD
Q1 2022-11-30 -16.7 766.5 -0.51 million USD
Q4 2022-08-31 20.2 950.7 0.61 million USD
Q3 2022-05-31 3.1 793.5 0.09 million USD
Q2 2022-02-28 12.8 682.8 0.38 million USD

One of the key measures of a company’s financial performance is its quarterly earnings per share (EPS). In Q3 2023, MorningStar has adjusted EPS estimates of $0.6 for Greenbrier Cos., which are the same as the estimates from 7 days ago, 30 days ago, and 60 days ago. This stability in analysts’ estimates could suggest that investors have a stable view of this sector and the company fare in it. It is essential to note that these estimates are not guarantees or certainties, and they might change significantly following the earnings announcement if the actual performance missed or surpassed these estimates.

Furthermore, Greenbrier Cos.’s financial report for the past year shows net income of $49.4 million obtained from total revenue of $3.63 billion. The company has consistently reported a positive figure for diluted EPS over the last five quarters. In Q1 2022, the company recorded net loss of $16.7 million with a dipped diluted EPS of -$0.51. However, this loss seems to have turned around thanks to the company’s next three quarters.

Technical Analysis:

since low high change change%
1D 2023-06-21 31.7 32.8 0.3 0.9
5D 2023-06-14 30.4 32.8 1.4 4.6
1M 2023-05-19 26.9 32.8 4.5 16.4
3M 2023-03-20 25.4 34.7 3.9 13.7

In terms of the company’s current price performance, Greenbrier Cos.’s share price has shown consistent growth over the past three months. The share price of GBX rose from $25.4 on March 20th, 2023, to $32.8 on June 21st, 2023, presenting an increase of approximately 13.7% in this period. The growth appears steady and not erratic, presenting a positive indicator for trend following.

The 5-day and 1-month changes show more significant increases that suggest momentum and popularity around the upcoming earnings report. A 4.6% change in the last five days and a 16.4% rise in the past month could be taken as signs that investors are cautiously optimistic about the forthcoming earnings announcement.

Historical Guidance:

Greenbrier Cos.’s historical financial performance has commonly guided investors’ decision-making process on the stock. One of the things that investors would keep an eye on is its revenue stream which enables operating costs and further investment into the company’s research and development plans.

GBX’s past results exhibit that diluted EPS remained positive over the last five quarters while bouncing back up from a loss in Q1 2022. GBX’s revenue stream is showing gains, with over $3 billion in total revenue obtained within a year’s time, and net income topping almost $50 million. Such results suggest a positive growth trend that could enhance investors’ faith in the company’s performance.

Analyst Estimates:

Industry experts’ opinions and rating outlooks continue to guide investors towards stocks with higher potential returns. While the MorningStar estimate for Greenbrier Cos.’s adjusted EPS for Q3 hasn’t changed much, it should be remembered that this won’t be the only analyst opinion on what is expected of the company’s report. Other investment platforms might have different estimates, and knowing these estimates could potentially provide a wider range of investor viewpoints.

The recent sentiment around GBX has been quite positive, further reinforcing the potential positive outlook buyers would have on GBX’s stock. Analysts and investors’ more bullish outlook is expected to be driven by growth opportunities in the rail industry and a burgeoning domestic economy.

Conclusion:

In conclusion, Greenbrier Cos. has provided its investors and analysts with encouraging past financial results, technical indicators that intimate popular interest, estimations that do not show much variability, and investor-favorite sentiment towards the upcoming Q3 2023 earnings report.

Greenbrier Cos. is an industry leader in rail transportation equipment and services, set to showcase its strength in this sector through this forthcoming earnings report. It will be an opportunity for shareholders to gauge the company’s response to changes in this niche and anticipate potential future growth opportunities. Investors’ attention would stay towards the coming report as it could influence their perspective on GBX’s future performance.

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