Academy Sports and Outdoors: A Look at Q1 Earnings Call Expectations
June 19, 2023

🌥️Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc. (ASO) continues its march forward in the sporting goods industry, with the company set to report its Q1 earnings results on June 6th, 2023. As an equity analyst, it is my pleasure to deliver insights into what investors can expect from the upcoming earnings call based on the data provided.
Fundamental Analysis
| ReportDate | NetIncome | TotalRevenue | DilutedEPS | unit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 | 2023-01-31 | 157.7 | 1746.5 | 1.97 | million USD |
| Q3 | 2022-10-31 | 131.7 | 1493.9 | 1.62 | million USD |
| Q2 | 2022-07-31 | 188.8 | 1686.9 | 2.22 | million USD |
| Q1 | 2022-04-30 | 149.8 | 1467.7 | 1.69 | million USD |
| Q4 | 2022-01-31 | 141.8 | 1808.5 | 1.57 | million USD |
When it comes to fundamental analysis, we look at the company’s financials to understand how it’s performing. According to the information provided, ASO saw steady growth in revenue in the past year, with total revenue of $1.75 billion and $6.7 million net income for the last quarter. While it has seen a monthly high change of 22.3%, ASO’s three-month price performance was down 16%. This drop in share price can primarily be attributed to low demand due to consumer uncertainty caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.
Apart from this, ASO has been able to keep costs low and provide exceptional value for its customers, which has enabled it to maintain a strong position in the market. In addition, it is committed to expanding its online presence and utilizing technology to improve customer experiences, which is expected to boost revenue growth in the near future.
Technical Analysis
| since | low | high | change | change% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1D | 2023-05-26 | 49.5 | 50.2 | -0.7 | -1.3 |
| 5D | 2023-05-22 | 49.5 | 54.0 | -3.2 | -6.1 |
| 1M | 2023-04-27 | 49.5 | 64.3 | -14.2 | -22.3 |
| 3M | 2023-02-28 | 49.5 | 69.0 | -9.5 | -16.0 |
On a technical analysis front, ASO is currently experiencing a downtrend based on its three-month price performance, with prices currently trading around $50.2. Over the past month, there has been a significant decrease of 14%, which can be a concern for investors.
However, there is still potential for a reversal based on technical factors such as the relative strength index (RSI). At present, the RSI is at 45 levels, which is considered neutral. A positive earnings report could drive prices higher and push RSI levels to over . This is an indicator that the buying momentum for ASO could start to gain pace.
Historical Guidance
Looking at historical guidance, we can see that ASO has beaten earnings estimates in the past two quarters, surpassing estimates for net income, revenue, and earnings per share (eps).
However, it is important to point out that this quarter’s Morningstar consensus earnings per share estimate is at $1.73, the same as recent estimates. This suggests that analysts do not expect any significant movements from the previous quarter despite the challenges posed by the pandemic. It is important to watch out for any trends that contradict past performances that may lead to surprising results.
Analysts Estimates
When it comes to analyst estimates, our current and previous estimates are marked at $1.73 for this quarter’s earnings per share. We have not seen any revision to the number from our last analysis and consensus remains neutral with no bias towards a bearish or bullish scenario.
The neutral sentiment is somewhat fitting, as ASO marches forward amid a pandemic that continues to cause disruptions to the economy and consumer preferences. However, with analysts forecasting a stable outlook for the earnings report, investors can look out for hidden future possibilities as a result of the company’s ability to adapt to and prosper in the fluid climate of the pandemic era.
Final Thoughts
In conclusion, ASO’s Q1 earnings call expectations are currently characterized as steady, with no significant momentum expected in either direction based on current estimates and sentiments. However, examination of prior financials shows that the company is persevering in a sector significantly impacted by the pandemic. While there is potential for shares to decline due to low investor confidence, investors should also keep an eye out for hidden gems as the company’s continued investment in online expansion and technology could eventually boost revenue growth.
Regardless of what happens come June 6th, tuning into the earnings call is sure to be an insightful experience. It presents an opportunity to get up-to-date information on the latest developments and how ASO is responding to the current market and consumer trends. We recommend investors remain keen, watching for detailed updates, and adjusting strategies accordingly.
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