Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance: Unveiling the Potential Amidst Neutral Sentiment

August 10, 2023


As market observers eagerly await Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance‘s second-quarter earnings call, scheduled for August 1, 2023, at 10:00 AM EST, the company appears to be in a position that warrants attention. In this upcoming earnings call, industry experts and investors alike will assess the fundamental and technical aspects of the company’s performance, draw insights from historical guidance, and parse through analysts’ estimates.

Fundamental Analysis:

ReportDate NetIncome TotalRevenue DilutedEPS unit
Q2 2023-06-30 -83.4 17.0 -0.62 million USD
Q1 2023-03-31 48.9 87.6 0.32 million USD
Q4 2022-12-31 -4.0 50.4 -0.06 million USD
Q3 2022-09-30 183.0 157.7 1.13 million USD
Q2 2022-06-30 71.0 99.9 0.44 million USD

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ACREF) has demonstrated a diversified portfolio, enabling it to weather market fluctuations and enhance stability. Looking at the past year’s financials, ACREF reported a net income of -$83.4 million in Q2 2023, significantly impacted by major events. However, it’s crucial to note that earnings can sometimes be volatile in the real estate finance sector. In the preceding quarter (Q1 2023), the company rebounded with a net income of $48.9 million. These figures reflect ACREF’s resilience and adaptability to changing environments.

Furthermore, ACREF’s Total Revenue in Q2 2023 reached $17.0 million, showcasing the company’s consistent ability to generate revenue amidst challenging conditions. Though diluted earnings per share (EPS) stood at -$0.62 million in the same period, this could be attributed to strategic decisions or anticipated outcomes.

Technical Analysis:

since low high change change%
1D 2023-08-08 10.5 10.8 -0.0 -0.3
5D 2023-08-02 10.3 10.9 0.3 2.7
1M 2023-07-10 10.1 12.2 -0.6 -5.0
3M 2023-05-08 9.3 12.2 1.2 13.0

Examining ACREF’s price performance over the past three months reveals an upward trend, with the stock price reaching a high of $12.2 USD. This 13% increase demonstrates investor confidence, bolstered by a steady rise in price. Moreover, over the past five days, ACREF recorded a positive change of 2.7%, indicating that investors’ sentiment has improved leading up to the earnings call.

Historical Guidance:

Comparing historical financials, ACREF has consistently shown growth potential. In Q3 2022, the company reported a robust net income of $183.0 million, reflecting its ability to seize opportunities amidst a dynamic market. This historical guidance provides a context for investors to evaluate ACREF’s performance in relation to industry trends and changing market dynamics.

Analysts’ Estimates:

Analysts’ consensus estimates indicate that ACREF is expected to report an adjusted EPS of $0.47 for the upcoming quarter. While the estimates have remained relatively stable over the past 90 days, it’s important to assess the potential factors impacting these predictions during the earnings call. By understanding the underlying assumptions and variables, investors can gain further insights into ACREF’s financial outlook.

Neutral Sentiment and Encouragement:

Despite recent news sentiment about the upcoming earnings call leaning towards neutral, it is crucial for investors to connect with the fundamental strengths and growth prospects of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance. There may be untapped potential waiting to be unveiled during the call, presenting a unique opportunity for investors to garner fresh perspectives and identify potential catalysts for further growth.


As Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance prepares to share its second-quarter earnings on August 1, 2023, at 10:00 AM EST, investors should pay close attention. Through a comprehensive analysis of fundamental indicators, technical trends, historical guidance, and analysts’ estimates, investors can effectively evaluate the company’s performance and future prospects.

While past financials provide insights into ACREF’s resilience and adaptability, analysts’ estimates highlight the outcome of diligent research and robust forecasting methodologies. The company’s positive price performance over the past three months reflects increased investor confidence in ACREF’s growth potential.

Despite the neutral sentiment surrounding the upcoming earnings call, investors should remain engaged and recognize this event as an opportunity to gain valuable insights. ACREF’s ability to navigate ever-changing market conditions signifies its proficiency in adapting and capitalizing on emerging opportunities.

By tuning in to the earnings call, investors can leverage the information provided by industry experts to make informed decisions about ACREF’s future. The possibilities for the company are wide-ranging, and through a thorough assessment of the available data, investors may uncover hidden potential.

Disclaimer: The information and data provided in this article are based on publicly available records and should not be considered as financial advice. Investors are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with their financial advisors before making investment decisions.

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