GPK Stock Intrinsic Value – Analysts Lower FY2024 Earnings Forecast for Graphic Packaging Holding Amidst Market Uncertainty
November 1, 2024

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Graphic Packaging Holding ($NYSE:GPK) is a leading provider of paper-based packaging solutions for a wide range of industries, including food and beverage, household, and consumer goods. With a strong track record of performance and a commitment to sustainability, the company has been a favorite among investors in recent years.
However, amidst market uncertainty and a volatile economic climate, analysts at Seaport Res Ptn have recently revised their earnings forecast for Graphic Packaging Holding. In particular, they have lowered their estimates for the company’s earnings per share (EPS) for FY2024, citing the potential impact of market conditions on the company’s operations. It also highlights the unpredictable nature of the current market environment and the need for companies to be vigilant and adaptive in order to weather any potential storms. Despite this revision in the earnings forecast, Graphic Packaging Holding remains a strong and resilient company with a solid foundation in the packaging industry. The company’s focus on innovation and customer satisfaction has allowed it to maintain a competitive edge in the market, even during uncertain times. Furthermore, Graphic Packaging Holding’s commitment to sustainability has positioned the company as a leader in environmentally-friendly packaging solutions, which is increasingly important to consumers and investors alike. The company’s efforts in reducing its environmental impact and promoting sustainable practices have earned it recognition and accolades from various organizations. In conclusion, while the recent revision in earnings forecast may be concerning for investors, it is important to note that Graphic Packaging Holding is a well-established and resilient company with a strong focus on innovation and sustainability. As the market continues to evolve and face challenges, companies like Graphic Packaging Holding will undoubtedly play a crucial role in providing reliable and sustainable packaging solutions.
Earnings
This comes amidst market uncertainty and a challenging economic climate. In the company’s latest earnings report for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2023, which ended on December 31, 2021, Graphic Packaging Holding reported a total revenue of 1988.0M USD and a net income of 39.0M USD.
However, this represents a 16.7% decrease in total revenue and a significant 75.0% decrease in net income compared to the previous year. This decline can be attributed to the current market uncertainty and economic challenges that have impacted the company’s operations. As a result, analysts have revised their earnings forecast for the company’s future performance. Over the last three years, Graphic Packaging Holding has seen a steady increase in its total revenue, reaching 2249.0M USD. This growth can be attributed to the company’s strong market position and successful strategies. However, with the current market uncertainty, analysts are predicting a decline in future earnings for the company. The challenging economic climate has affected many companies, and Graphic Packaging Holding is no exception. With analysts lowering their earnings forecast for the company, it will be important for Graphic Packaging Holding to adapt and implement effective strategies to navigate these uncertain times successfully. This may include cost-cutting measures, diversifying its product offerings, or exploring new markets to offset any potential losses in revenue. Only time will tell how Graphic Packaging Holding responds to these challenges and how it will impact the company’s future earnings.
About the Company
Income Snapshot
Below shows the total revenue, net income and net margin for GPK. More…
| Total Revenues | Net Income | Net Margin |
| 9.43k | 723 | 8.3% |
Cash Flow Snapshot
Below shows the cash from operations, investing and financing for GPK. More…
| Operations | Investing | Financing |
| 1.14k | -1.02k | -106 |
Balance Sheet Snapshot
Below shows the total assets, liabilities and book value per share for GPK. More…
| Total Assets | Total Liabilities | Book Value Per Share |
| 11.18k | 8.39k | 9.09 |
Key Ratios Snapshot
Some of the financial key ratios for GPK are shown below. More…
| 3Y Rev Growth | 3Y Operating Profit Growth | Operating Margin |
| 12.9% | 28.7% | 12.4% |
| FCF Margin | ROE | ROA |
| 3.6% | 27.5% | 6.5% |
Stock Price
On Thursday, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING, a leading provider of packaging solutions, saw a decrease in their stock price. This downward trend was driven by analysts lowering their forecast for the company’s earnings in fiscal year 2024. The change in earnings forecast came amidst market uncertainty, as many industries are still feeling the effects of the ongoing pandemic. This has caused analysts to reassess their projections for various companies, including GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING. The uncertainty in the market has also led to increased volatility in stock prices, making it challenging for investors to accurately predict future performance. As a result of the updated earnings forecast, investors may be hesitant to purchase or hold onto GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING stock. This could lead to a further decline in the company’s stock price if there is a significant sell-off by investors.
However, it is worth noting that analysts may revise their forecasts again as the market stabilizes and more information becomes available. GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING will need to navigate these challenging market conditions carefully to maintain their position as a leader in the packaging industry. As consumer behavior continues to evolve and the economy recovers, the company will need to adapt and innovate to stay competitive and meet changing demands. It will also be essential for them to communicate their strategies and progress effectively to investors to regain confidence in their stock. As the situation evolves, it will be crucial for the company to stay agile and resilient to overcome any challenges and come out stronger on the other side. Investors will also be closely monitoring how GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING responds to these changes and adjusts their strategies accordingly. Live Quote…
Analysis – GPK Stock Intrinsic Value
As an analyst at GoodWhale, I have conducted a thorough analysis of GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING’s financials. This company specializes in packaging solutions for consumer products, and it is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol GPK. After examining the company’s financial statements, I have determined that the fair value of GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING’s stock is approximately $24.0. This fair value is calculated using our proprietary Valuation Line, which takes into account various factors such as earnings, growth potential, and industry trends. Currently, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING’s stock is trading at $28.26, which means that it is overvalued by 17.7%. This suggests that the market is currently willing to pay more for the stock than what it is actually worth. As an analyst, it is important to take this into consideration when making investment recommendations. Overall, GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING has shown strong financial performance in recent years, with consistent revenue growth and profitability. However, the current stock price does not accurately reflect the fair value of the company. Investors should be aware of this discrepancy and conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions. More…

Peers
The competition in the packaging industry is fierce, with Graphic Packaging Holding Co leading the pack. Its competitors, WestRock Co, International Paper Co, and Sonoco Products Co, are all trying to keep up, but they are struggling to match Graphic Packaging’s innovation and efficiency.
– WestRock Co ($NYSE:WRK)
The company has a market cap of 8.51B as of 2022. The company’s return on equity is 8.61%. The company is engaged in the production of corrugated packaging products and solutions. The company has a diversified customer base, including producers of packaging, consumer and industrial products. The company operates in three segments: Corrugated Packaging, Consumer Packaging and Industrial Packaging. The Corrugated Packaging segment produces corrugated packaging products, including linerboard, medium and recycled medium. The Consumer Packaging segment produces folding cartons, cups, plates and bowls. The Industrial Packaging segment produces a range of packaging products, including containerboard, kraft paper, bleached paperboard and corrugated packaging products.
– International Paper Co ($NYSE:IP)
In 2022, International Paper Company had a market capitalization of 12.11 billion dollars and a return on equity of 11.61%. The company produces paper and packaging products and has operations in North America, Europe, Latin America, Russia, Asia, Africa, and the Middle East. International Paper is one of the world’s largest paper companies and has been in business for over 100 years.
– Sonoco Products Co ($NYSE:SON)
Sonoco Products Company is a global provider of packaging products and services. The company operates in four segments: Consumer Packaging, Industrial Packaging, Display and Packaging Services, and Sonoco Europe. The company’s products include steel and plastic drums, steel and plastic pails, steel and plastic intermediate bulk containers, steel and plastic closure rings and lids, steel and plastic food cans, steel and plastic paint cans, steel and plastic jar lids, steel and plastic tubes, composite cans, flexible packaging, and corrugated containers. The company also provides display packaging products, such as point-of-purchase displays, in-store merchandising displays, and packaging for the retail sector; and packaging services, such as design, prototyping, sourcing, manufacturing, logistics, and warehousing.
Summary
Seaport Res Ptn has reduced their FY2024 earnings estimates for Graphic Packaging Holding, a leading packaging company. This news comes as a surprise to investors who were expecting higher earnings from the company in the future. This reduction in earnings forecast is a result of an analysis done by Seaport Res Ptn, indicating potential challenges for the company in the coming years.
This could potentially impact investor confidence and lead to a decline in share value. It will be important to closely monitor the company’s performance and any developments in the packaging industry to assess the impact on Graphic Packaging’s future earnings.
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