A2 Milk Stock Intrinsic Value – A2 Milk’s Infant Formula Manufacturer Plunges Into Trading Halt, Raising Questions About Earnings Forecast

April 26, 2023

Categories: Packaged FoodsTags: , , Views: 236

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A2 Milk ($ASX:A2M), one of the most popular brands of infant formula in Australia, has come under fire after its contract infant formula manufacturer, Synlait Milk, was issued a trading halt, warning investors that its forecasted earnings may need to be adjusted. A2 Milk is a publicly traded company based in New Zealand, with shares listed on both the New Zealand and Australian stock markets. It specializes in producing and marketing a range of dairy products, including infant formula, and is known for its health claims associated with its A2 protein-rich milk. The trading halt has raised questions about A2 Milk’s recent earnings forecasts and the company’s ability to meet them, while also causing investors to reevaluate their positions in the stock.

Furthermore, the halt has caused some to question the efficacy of A2 Milk’s current production methods, given that the company relies heavily on Synlait Milk for manufacturing its infant formula products. With this disruption in the supply chain, it remains unclear whether the company can make up for any potential losses caused by the halt in time for its next financial report.

Share Price

On Monday, A2 MILK‘s infant formula manufacturer unexpectedly plunged into a trading halt, raising questions about their earnings forecast. When trading opened, A2 MILK stock opened at AU$5.7 and closed at AU$5.7, down by a modest 0.2% from its prior closing price. The halt highlights the unknowns in the infant formula industry and the risks associated with it. Analysts have suggested that the halt could be attributed to A2 MILK’s earnings forecast, which had been expected to increase from its prior quarter.

However, with the halt, investors will have to wait to hear more from the firm on their earnings outlook and their plans to respond to the disruption caused by the halt. The pause in trading has left investors questioning the potential impact of A2 MILK’s decision on their share price in the near future. Investors are urged to proceed with caution and to stay informed of the situation in order to make the best decision for their investments. Live Quote…

About the Company

  • Industry Classification
  • Key Executives
  • Ownership (Institutional/ Fund Holdings)
  • News Feed
  • Income Snapshot

    Below shows the total revenue, net income and net margin for A2 Milk. More…

    Total Revenues Net Income Net Margin
    1.57k 136.77 8.7%
  • Income Statement Reports (Yearly/ Quarterly/ LTM)
  • Income Supplement
  • Growth Performance
  • Cash Flow Snapshot

    Below shows the cash from operations, investing and financing for A2 Milk. More…

    Operations Investing Financing
    102.2 -361.29 -68.08
  • Cash Flow Statement (Yearly/ Quarterly/ LTM)
  • Cash Flow Supplement
  • Balance Sheet Snapshot

    Below shows the total assets, liabilities and book value per share for A2 Milk. More…

    Total Assets Total Liabilities Book Value Per Share
    1.7k 494.39 1.64
  • Balance Sheet (Yearly/ Quarterly)
  • Balance Sheet Supplement
  • Key Ratios Snapshot

    Some of the financial key ratios for A2 Milk are shown below. More…

    3Y Rev Growth 3Y Operating Profit Growth Operating Margin
    1.5% -28.9% 13.0%
    FCF Margin ROE ROA
    5.9% 10.7% 7.5%
  • Income Statement Ratios
  • Balance Sheet Ratios
  • Cash Flow Ratios
  • Valuation Ratios
  • Other Ratios
  • Other Supplementary Items
  • Analysis – A2 Milk Stock Intrinsic Value

    At GoodWhale, we recently took a look at A2 MILK‘s financials. After applying our proprietary Valuation Line and analyzing the company’s fundamentals, we have concluded that the intrinsic value of A2 MILK’s share currently stands at around AU$9.4. However, the current traded price of A2 MILK stands at AU$5.7, which is about 39.7% lower than its intrinsic value. This implies that A2 MILK is currently undervalued in the market and represents an attractive investment opportunity. More…

  • Risk Rating Analysis
  • Star Chart Analysis
  • Valuation Analysis




  • Peers

    The a2 Milk Co Ltd is one of the leading companies in the dairy industry and competes with other large companies such as Pengdu Agriculture & Animal Husbandry Co Ltd, BRC Inc, and Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co Ltd. a2 Milk Co Ltd focuses on providing high-quality milk products that are safe and nutritious for consumers. The company has a strong presence in Australia, New Zealand, China, and the United States.

    – Pengdu Agriculture & Animal Husbandry Co Ltd ($SZSE:002505)

    Pengdu Agriculture & Animal Husbandry Co Ltd has a market cap of 17.98B as of 2022, a Return on Equity of 6.27%. The company is engaged in the business of animal husbandry and agriculture. It is one of the leading companies in the industry with a strong market share. The company has a strong financial position and is well-positioned to continue its growth trajectory in the future.

    – BRC Inc ($NYSE:BRCC)

    BRC Inc is a publicly traded company with a market capitalization of 331.47 million as of 2022. The company has a Return on Equity of 3455.87%, meaning that it has generated a profit for shareholders on every dollar that they have invested in the company. BRC Inc is a leading provider of software and services to the retail industry, with a focus on helping retailers improve their operations and grow their businesses. The company’s products and services are used by retailers of all sizes, from small businesses to large multinational chains.

    – Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co Ltd ($SHSE:600887)

    Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co Ltd has a market cap of 191.6B as of 2022, a Return on Equity of 15.16%. The company is a leading dairy producer in China, with a strong presence in the domestic market. It has a wide range of products, including milk powder, yogurt, cheese, and infant formula. The company has a strong research and development capabilities, and has been investing heavily in new product development and marketing.

    Summary

    A2 Milk is a leading producer and distributor of dairy products, including contract infant formula. The company has recently entered into a trading halt, with potential to revise its earnings forecast as a result. This news has investors concerned about the company’s long-term prospects.

    Analysts have been cautious on the stock, with some warning of the risks of investing in A2 Milk given its reliance on China for a significant portion of its revenue. With A2 Milk’s future in question, investors will be keeping a close eye on any future developments.

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