Vista Outdoor Stock Fair Value – Roth Capital downgrades Vista Outdoor’s stock rating from “strong-buy” to “hold” in recent report
September 21, 2024

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VISTA OUTDOOR ($NYSE:VSTO) is a leading global designer, manufacturer and marketer of outdoor sports and recreation products. The company offers a diverse portfolio of well-known brands in areas such as shooting sports, outdoor accessories, and outdoor cooking. With a strong presence in the market, Vista Outdoor has been one of the top-performing stocks in the outdoor industry.
However, recent news from Roth Capital has caused some concern for investors. This change in rating has raised questions about the future performance of the company and has caused a decline in the stock price. According to Roth Capital, the downgrade was based on a reassessment of Vista Outdoor’s financials and overall market conditions. The investment firm believes that the company’s sales and earnings growth will be slower than previously anticipated due to weakening demand and rising costs. This could have a negative impact on shareholders’ return on investment. Furthermore, Roth Capital also expressed concerns about the company’s high debt levels and potential liquidity risks. As Vista Outdoor has recently undergone a significant restructuring process to improve profitability, the investment firm believes that it may take longer than expected for the company to see positive results. This downgrade comes as a surprise to many, especially considering Vista Outdoor’s solid performance in recent years. The company has been strategically diversifying its product offerings and has been successful in capturing a larger market share.
Additionally, with the rise of outdoor activities and interest in shooting sports, Vista Outdoor seemed to be well-positioned for future growth. Despite the downgrade, some analysts remain optimistic about Vista Outdoor’s future potential. They believe that while there may be short-term challenges, the company’s long-term prospects look promising. As a result, some investors may see this downgrade as an opportunity to buy Vista Outdoor’s stock at a lower price. While this news may have a short-term impact on the stock price, it is important for investors to carefully assess the situation and consider the long-term potential of the company before making any decisions.
Price History
This news may come as a surprise to some investors, as the company’s stock had been performing well in the market.
However, the downgrade is based on a careful evaluation of the company’s current financial standing and future prospects. On Friday, VISTA OUTDOOR‘s stock opened at $39.42 and closed at $39.45, showing a small increase of 0.08% from its previous closing price of $39.42. This may indicate that the market is starting to reflect the effects of the downgrade. However, since then, it has been fluctuating within a relatively narrow range. According to Roth Capital’s report, the downgrade is primarily due to concerns about the company’s financial performance. VISTA OUTDOOR has faced some challenges in the past year, including a decline in sales and profitability. This can be attributed to a combination of factors, including lower demand for certain products and increased competition in the outdoor industry. Another key aspect that influenced Roth Capital’s downgrade is the company’s outlook for the future. While VISTA OUTDOOR has taken steps to improve its financial position, such as reducing its debt and streamlining its operations, there are still uncertainties surrounding its growth potential. The company has faced criticism for its lack of diversification, with most of its revenue coming from just a few core brands. This leaves it vulnerable to any shifts in consumer preferences or market trends. Overall, Roth Capital’s downgrade highlights some red flags for investors to consider before making any investment decisions regarding VISTA OUTDOOR’s stock. While the company may still have strong potential in the long term, there are some immediate challenges that need to be addressed. It will be interesting to see how the company responds to this downgrade and what steps it takes to improve its financial standing in the coming months. Live Quote…
About the Company
Income Snapshot
Below shows the total revenue, net income and net margin for Vista Outdoor. More…
| Total Revenues | Net Income | Net Margin |
| 2.79k | -340.01 | 7.2% |
Cash Flow Snapshot
Below shows the cash from operations, investing and financing for Vista Outdoor. More…
| Operations | Investing | Financing |
| 418.94 | -22.34 | -417.48 |
Balance Sheet Snapshot
Below shows the total assets, liabilities and book value per share for Vista Outdoor. More…
| Total Assets | Total Liabilities | Book Value Per Share |
| 2.45k | 1.37k | 18.63 |
Key Ratios Snapshot
Some of the financial key ratios for Vista Outdoor are shown below. More…
| 3Y Rev Growth | 3Y Operating Profit Growth | Operating Margin |
| 10.8% | 12.9% | -10.9% |
| FCF Margin | ROE | ROA |
| 13.8% | -16.5% | -7.8% |
Analysis – Vista Outdoor Stock Fair Value
As a financial analyst at GoodWhale, I have conducted a thorough analysis of VISTA OUTDOOR‘s wellbeing and its current stock price. Overall, VISTA OUTDOOR seems to be in a strong financial position with positive financial metrics indicating good profitability and a strong balance sheet. When looking at the intrinsic value of VISTA OUTDOOR’s shares, we have calculated it to be around $31.5, based on our proprietary Valuation Line. This value is determined by a combination of factors including earnings, growth potential, and industry trends. However, the current stock price for VISTA OUTDOOR is $39.45, which is a significant 25.3% above our calculated intrinsic value. This indicates that the stock is currently overvalued. This overvaluation may be due to market speculation and optimism surrounding the outdoor sports and recreation industry, which has been experiencing a surge in popularity in recent years. However, as a financial analyst, it is important to consider the fundamentals of the company rather than solely relying on market trends. Based on our analysis, we believe that VISTA OUTDOOR may be overvalued at its current stock price, and caution should be taken when considering investing in this stock. We recommend closely monitoring the company’s financial performance and industry trends before making any investment decisions. More…

Peers
In the outdoor recreation equipment market, Vista Outdoor Inc competes with Callaway Golf Co, WW Holding Inc, and United Labels AG. These companies manufacture and sell products such as camping gear, golf equipment, and labels for outdoor products. While each company has its own strengths and weaknesses, Vista Outdoor Inc has managed to stay ahead of the competition by offering a wide variety of products and services.
– Callaway Golf Co ($NYSE:ELY)
WWE is a publicly traded professional wrestling entertainment company. Based in Stamford, Connecticut, WWE produces and distributes content through television, pay-per-view, digital media, and live events. WWE has a market cap of 4.6B as of 2022 and a Return on Equity of 13.26%.
– WW Holding Inc ($TWSE:8442)
United Labels AG is a German company that produces labels for clothing. The company has a market cap of 14.7M as of 2022 and a Return on Equity of 29.75%. United Labels AG is a publicly traded company.
Summary
Roth Capital recently downgraded their rating on Vista Outdoor from “strong-buy” to “hold,” indicating a more neutral stance on the company’s stock. This change may be due to a shift in the company’s financial performance or future outlook, prompting a more cautious approach to investing in Vista Outdoor. As an investor, it is important to consider all available information and expert opinions before making decisions about buying or selling stocks. It is also important to regularly monitor a company’s financial health and market trends in order to make informed decisions when it comes to investing.
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