Obsidian Energy’s Outlook Dimmed After Delays, Rising Costs, and Widening Differentials

December 22, 2022

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Obsidian Energy Stock Intrinsic Value – Obsidian Energy ($NYSEAM:OBE) is a publicly traded oil and gas exploration and production company based in Calgary, Alberta, with operations in Alberta and British Columbia. It is well-known for its strong operational results and innovative approach to unlocking value from its assets.

However, its outlook has become slightly less optimistic due to some recent developments. Firstly, Obsidian Energy has reduced its near-term production projections due to weather-induced delays in its 2H 2022 development program. This has resulted in a slight decrease in the company’s expected production growth rate. Secondly, its 2022 cost guidance was revised upwards due to inflation and extra acquisitions. These higher costs could further limit Obsidian Energy’s ability to realize profits. This reduction in the projected price of Obsidian Energy’s heavy oil output could have a significant impact on its profitability. Overall, these three developments have caused Obsidian Energy’s outlook to become slightly less optimistic in the near-term. The company is confident that it can still generate attractive returns for investors; however, it will need to be proactive in managing its costs and adjusting its strategies to stay ahead of the curve.

Share Price

Obsidian Energy‘s outlook has dimmed with delays, rising costs, and widening differentials. Despite this, news coverage of the company has remained mostly positive. On Tuesday, Obsidian Energy stock opened at $6.3 and closed at $6.4, up by 1.3% from prior closing price of 6.3. The company’s outlook has been adversely affected by delays in the completion of various projects, increasing costs due to higher labor and material costs, and widening differentials in market prices for their products. The delays in completion of projects have caused the company to miss production targets, which in turn has had a negative impact on the company’s revenue.

Additionally, rising costs have put pressure on the company’s margins, as the cost of goods sold has outpaced revenue growth. Finally, widening differentials in market prices for their products have also had a negative effect on the company’s bottom line. With oil prices remaining low and demand for energy products weakening, Obsidian Energy is likely to face even more challenges in the near future. Despite the positive news coverage and a slight stock increase on Tuesday, the company faces significant challenges to restore its financial health and improve its outlook. Live Quote…

About the Company

  • Industry Classification
  • Key Executives
  • Ownership (Institutional/ Fund Holdings)
  • News Feed
  • Income Snapshot

    Below shows the total revenue, net income and net margin for Obsidian Energy. More…

    Total Revenues Net Income Net Margin
    865.3 200.1 27.2%
  • Income Statement Reports (Yearly/ Quarterly/ LTM)
  • Income Supplement
  • Growth Performance
  • Cash Flow Snapshot

    Below shows the cash from operations, investing and financing for Obsidian Energy. More…

    Operations Investing Financing
    392.9 -271.5 -125.4
  • Cash Flow Statement (Yearly/ Quarterly/ LTM)
  • Cash Flow Supplement
  • Balance Sheet Snapshot

    Below shows the total assets, liabilities and book value per share for Obsidian Energy. More…

    Total Assets Total Liabilities Book Value Per Share
    1.56k 617.5 11.01
  • Balance Sheet (Yearly/ Quarterly)
  • Balance Sheet Supplement
  • Key Ratios Snapshot

    Some of the financial key ratios for Obsidian Energy are shown below. More…

    3Y Rev Growth 3Y Operating Profit Growth Operating Margin
    30.9% 26.6%
    FCF Margin ROE ROA
    14.5% 15.5% 9.2%
  • Income Statement Ratios
  • Balance Sheet Ratios
  • Cash Flow Ratios
  • Valuation Ratios
  • Other Ratios
  • Other Supplementary Items


  • VI Analysis – Obsidian Energy Stock Intrinsic Value

    OBSIDIAN ENERGY’s fundamentals are an important factor in determining its long-term potential. Valens Investment (VI) app has simplified the analysis of OBSIDIAN ENERGY’s performance by providing a comprehensive analysis of the company’s fundamentals. According to VI Line, the intrinsic value of OBSIDIAN ENERGY’s shares is around $4.6. However, the current market price of OBSIDIAN ENERGY’s stock is $6.4, which is 39% overvalued. This suggests that it might be a good time for investors to sell their shares and make profitable returns. However, investors should do their own research and carefully analyze the company’s fundamentals before making any decisions. More…

  • Risk Rating Analysis
  • Star Chart Analysis
  • Valuation Analysis
  • Summary

    Investing in Obsidian Energy carries with it a certain degree of risk. The company has experienced delays, rising costs, and widening differentials, all of which combine to reduce the potential return on an investment.

    However, those who are willing to take the risk may be rewarded with potential long-term growth. This has resulted in a consistent increase in the company’s share price. While this may appear to be a positive sign for investors, there are certain risks associated with investing in Obsidian Energy. The first risk is that the company has experienced delays in production and processing due to a variety of factors, such as bad weather or equipment malfunctions. This could lead to a decrease in the company’s profits, which could lead to a decrease in the share price.

    Additionally, rising costs associated with production and processing can also reduce profits and share price. The second risk is that differentials between what Obsidian Energy charges for its oil and natural gas and what similar companies charge have been widening recently. This means that Obsidian Energy is losing market share to its competitors, which could reduce its profits and share price over the long term. In spite of the risks associated with investing in Obsidian Energy, there is still potential for long-term growth. Obsidian Energy has consistently increased its production of oil and natural gas, which indicates that it has a solid business model and is well-positioned for future growth. Additionally, the company has implemented cost-cutting initiatives that have helped to reduce its costs and increase its profits. As such, investing in Obsidian Energy could potentially pay off in the long run for those who are willing to take the risk.

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