Singapore Post Stock Intrinsic Value – Singapore Post’s Strong Earnings Disappoint Investors, Additional Considerations Needed for Assessment
November 15, 2024

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Singapore Post ($SGX:S08) Limited, commonly known as SingPost, is a leading postal and logistics company based in Singapore. It provides mail, parcel, and logistics solutions to both domestic and international markets, serving a diverse range of customers in various industries. Despite its strong market position and consistent growth in recent years, SingPost’s latest earnings report has left investors disappointed. The company reported robust profits, but its stock price still took a hit, causing concern among shareholders. This raises the question of whether there are underlying factors that may have influenced the market’s response to SingPost’s earnings. As a postal and logistics company, SingPost’s business has been greatly affected by the global health crisis. With the rise of e-commerce and online shopping, the demand for parcel delivery has increased significantly.
However, the pandemic has also caused disruptions in global supply chains and increased operational costs for logistics companies like SingPost. Therefore, it is essential to examine how the pandemic has affected SingPost’s earnings and what measures the company has taken to mitigate these effects. Another consideration is the competitive landscape in which SingPost operates. With the rise of e-commerce and digitalization, the logistics industry has become increasingly competitive. SingPost faces fierce competition from both traditional postal companies and new players in the market. This could have an impact on SingPost’s profitability and may require further analysis to understand how it affects investors’ perceptions of the company’s earnings. Moreover, SingPost has been actively diversifying its business beyond traditional postal services to stay relevant in the rapidly evolving market. This includes investments in digital services, such as e-commerce platforms and logistics technology solutions. While this may bring potential growth opportunities for SingPost, it also presents risks and uncertainties that may have influenced the market’s reaction to its earnings. Therefore, a thorough analysis of SingPost’s diversification strategy and its potential impact on the company’s financial performance is needed. In conclusion, although SingPost reported strong earnings, there are additional factors that may have contributed to investors’ disappointment. To fully understand the company’s financial position and make an accurate assessment, further analysis is needed to identify the underlying reasons and potential impact of these factors. This will enable investors to make informed decisions about SingPost’s stocks and provide valuable insights for the company’s management to address any concerns and improve its performance in the future.
Earnings
Singapore Post (SingPost) recently released its earnings report for the second quarter of FY2024, ending on September 30, 2021. The report showed that the company earned a total revenue of 731.39 million SGD and a net income of 35.05 million SGD.
However, these strong earnings were met with disappointment from investors as they showed a significant decline compared to the previous year. In fact, SingPost’s total revenue saw a decrease of 23.7% while its net income saw a staggering decrease of 454.0%. The decrease in international trade and travel has led to a decrease in demand for SingPost’s services, resulting in lower revenue and profits. Despite the disappointing figures, it is worth noting that SingPost’s total revenue has shown a steady increase over the past three years, reaching 827.29 million SGD in the last quarter. This could indicate that the company has been able to adapt and grow despite the challenges posed by the pandemic. However, in order to make a comprehensive assessment of SingPost’s performance, it is essential to consider other factors such as its cost management strategies and investments in technology and innovation. These factors can greatly impact the company’s long-term growth and profitability. The company also announced that it will be introducing cost-saving initiatives and restructuring its operations to improve efficiency and reduce costs. This could potentially have a positive impact on their future earnings and restore investor confidence. In conclusion, while SingPost’s strong earnings may have disappointed investors due to the decline from the previous year, it is important to consider additional factors when assessing the company’s performance. With its steady growth in total revenue over the years and efforts to improve cost management, SingPost may still have potential for long-term success.
About the Company
Income Snapshot
Below shows the total revenue, net income and net margin for Singapore Post. More…
| Total Revenues | Net Income | Net Margin |
| 1.74k | 35.16 | 2.9% |
Cash Flow Snapshot
Below shows the cash from operations, investing and financing for Singapore Post. More…
| Operations | Investing | Financing |
| 117.88 | -24.55 | -79.68 |
Balance Sheet Snapshot
Below shows the total assets, liabilities and book value per share for Singapore Post. More…
| Total Assets | Total Liabilities | Book Value Per Share |
| 2.75k | 1.39k | 0.61 |
Key Ratios Snapshot
Some of the financial key ratios for Singapore Post are shown below. More…
| 3Y Rev Growth | 3Y Operating Profit Growth | Operating Margin |
| 8.2% | -7.6% | 5.9% |
| FCF Margin | ROE | ROA |
| 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
Price History
Singapore Post‘s recent strong earnings have failed to impress investors, with the company’s stock price dropping by 3.81% on Wednesday. The stock opened at SG$0.525 and closed at SG$0.505, down from the previous closing price of SG$0.525. This downward trend may be concerning for shareholders, who were likely expecting a more positive response to the company’s financial performance. While Singapore Post’s earnings may have been strong, it is important to consider other factors when assessing the company’s overall performance. Investors may be disappointed by the lack of growth potential or the company’s ability to sustain its current earnings level in the long term. This highlights the need for additional considerations beyond just the earnings figures when evaluating a company’s stock performance. One potential area of concern for investors could be Singapore Post’s ability to adapt to the changing landscape of the postal industry. With the rise of e-commerce and digital communications, traditional postal services may face challenges in maintaining their relevance and profitability.
As such, it is important for investors to assess how Singapore Post is addressing these challenges and whether they have a viable strategy for future growth. Another aspect to consider is the impact of global economic conditions on Singapore Post’s business. With ongoing trade tensions and uncertainties, there may be potential risks that could affect the company’s earnings and stock performance. Investors should carefully evaluate how Singapore Post is managing these risks and whether they have contingency plans in place. In conclusion, while Singapore Post’s strong earnings may have disappointed investors, it is crucial to look at the bigger picture and consider other factors when assessing the company’s performance. As with any investment decision, it is important to conduct a thorough analysis and weigh all relevant factors before making any decisions. With additional considerations and a comprehensive assessment, investors can make more informed decisions about Singapore Post and its potential for future growth. Live Quote…
Analysis – Singapore Post Stock Intrinsic Value
In our analysis of SINGAPORE POST‘s financials, we have found that the company’s stock is currently overvalued. Our proprietary Valuation Line has calculated the fair value of SINGAPORE POST’s share to be around SG$0.3. However, the current trading price of the stock is SG$0.505, indicating an overvaluation of 78.5%. We conducted a thorough examination of SINGAPORE POST’s financial performance, including its revenue, earnings, and cash flow. While the company has shown strong growth in recent years, with a steady increase in revenue and profits, we believe that the current market price does not accurately reflect the company’s true value. Based on our research and analysis, we have determined that a fair value of SG$0.3 is a more reasonable price for SINGAPORE POST’s stock. This valuation takes into account various factors such as the company’s financial health, industry trends, and market conditions. As a result, we advise caution to investors considering purchasing SINGAPORE POST’s stock at its current price. Our analysis suggests that the stock is currently overvalued and may not provide a good return on investment. We recommend waiting for the stock price to align with its fair value before making any investment decisions. More…

Peers
The competition between Singapore Post Ltd and its competitors, GDEX Bhd, Tiong Nam Logistics Holdings Bhd, and CTI Logistics Ltd, is fierce. All four companies are working hard to provide the best delivery services and customer experience, with each vying for a larger share of the market. With their diverse offerings and innovative approaches, customers have a lot of choice when it comes to selecting a provider.
– GDEX Bhd ($KLSE:0078)
GDEX Bhd is a Malaysian-based logistics and courier service provider that offers a range of delivery services for both domestic and international customers. With a market capitalization of 835.27 million as of 2022, GDEX Bhd is one of the largest logistics and courier service companies in the region. Its return on equity (ROE) stands at 8.41%, which indicates that the company is able to generate a return that is above the industry average. This suggests that the company’s management has been able to make the best use of its resources and investments, resulting in higher returns for shareholders.
– Tiong Nam Logistics Holdings Bhd ($KLSE:8397)
Tiong Nam Logistics Holdings Bhd is a Malaysian-based logistics and transport services provider. The company has a market capitalization of 408.67M as of 2022, representing the total value of the company’s outstanding shares. Additionally, it has a Return on Equity (ROE) of 4.51%, which measures how much profit the company produces relative to the amount of shareholder equity. The company provides a wide range of services including freight forwarding, warehousing, and transportation services. It also provides supply chain management solutions to its customers. Tiong Nam Logistics Holdings Bhd is one of the leading players in the logistics and transport industry in Malaysia.
– CTI Logistics Ltd ($ASX:CLX)
CTI Logistics Ltd is a leading provider of supply chain and logistics solutions. The company provides services such as freight forwarding, customs clearance, warehousing and distribution, and other services related to international trade. Its market capitalization of 122.67 million as of 2022 reflects the company’s immense growth, making it one of the leading players in the industry. Its Return on Equity (ROE) of 16.49% indicates the company’s strong financial performance and indicates CTI Logistics Ltd’s ability to efficiently utilize its assets and generate returns.
Summary
Investors were disappointed with Singapore Post Limited’s earnings, despite reporting strong profit numbers. The stock price moved down on the same day, indicating that additional considerations are required while assessing the company’s earnings. This could be due to factors such as increased competition, rising costs, or potential risks in the industry. Investors should carefully analyze the company’s financials and performance metrics to fully understand the impact of these factors on its earnings.
Additionally, they should also consider the company’s long-term growth prospects and potential risks in the market before making any investment decisions. Overall, while Singapore Post’s strong earnings are a positive sign, a more comprehensive analysis is needed to accurately assess its investment potential.
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