Trupanion Stock Fair Value – BofA Downgrades Trupanion After 17% Stock Drop Following Q1 Loss Ratio Spike
May 10, 2023

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Recently, Bank of America (BofA) has downgraded its outlook on the stock from Buy to Neutral following a 17% drop in its share price. This decrease was a result of the company’s Q1 loss ratio increasing significantly. The increase in the loss ratio can be attributed to the company’s decision to expand into new markets and offer new services, resulting in increased claims and premiums. Unfortunately, the increased spending associated with these new activities has weighed down the company’s financials, causing the stock to take a huge hit.
Despite this, Trupanion ($NASDAQ:TRUP)’s management remains confident in its long-term prospects and believes that they will be able to make up the lost ground in the coming quarters. It will be interesting to see if BofA’s outlook on the stock improves in the near future.
Analysis – Trupanion Stock Fair Value
At GoodWhale, we have evaluated the fundamentals of TRUPANION and determined that the fair value of a TRUPANION share is approximately $108.2. This calculation is based on our proprietary Valuation Line, which takes into account a range of factors including earnings, dividends, and assets. At the time of writing, TRUPANION shares are trading at $25.6 – a significant 76.3% below our estimated fair value. This presents a great investment opportunity for those willing to take advantage. Trupanion_After_17_Stock_Drop_Following_Q1_Loss_Ratio_Spike”>More…
About the Company
Income Snapshot
Below shows the total revenue, net income and net margin for Trupanion. More…
| Total Revenues | Net Income | Net Margin |
| 955.51 | -60.6 | -6.3% |
Cash Flow Snapshot
Below shows the cash from operations, investing and financing for Trupanion. More…
| Operations | Investing | Financing |
| -11.27 | -19.35 | 41.79 |
Balance Sheet Snapshot
Below shows the total assets, liabilities and book value per share for Trupanion. More…
| Total Assets | Total Liabilities | Book Value Per Share |
| 717.91 | 423.11 | 7.15 |
Key Ratios Snapshot
Some of the financial key ratios for Trupanion are shown below. More…
| 3Y Rev Growth | 3Y Operating Profit Growth | Operating Margin |
| 32.8% | – | -5.6% |
| FCF Margin | ROE | ROA |
| -3.1% | -11.2% | -4.7% |
Peers
The pet insurance industry is a highly competitive marketplace with a number of companies vying for market share. Two of the leading companies in this space are Trupanion Inc and Lancashire Holdings Ltd. Both companies offer a variety of pet insurance products and have a strong presence in the market. Marketing Alliance Inc is another key player in the pet insurance industry, offering a range of products that are targeted at specific needs such as accidents and illnesses. Hagerty Inc is a smaller player in the market but has a niche offering of high-end pet insurance products.
– Lancashire Holdings Ltd ($LSE:LRE)
Lancashire Holdings Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the underwriting of specialty insurance and reinsurance risks. It operates through the following segments: Property, Casualty, Marine, Aviation, and Energy. The Property segment offers protection against physical loss or damage to property, as well as business interruption and rental income loss. The Casualty segment provides general and products liability, professional indemnity, directors’ and officers’, and errors and omissions insurance. The Marine segment covers hull, cargo, specie, war, protection and indemnity, and other marine risks. The Aviation segment provides hull and liability coverages for scheduled airlines, airfreighters, helicopters, and private aircraft. The Energy segment offers upstream oil and gas property and liability, workers’ compensation, and marine energy risks. The company was founded by Alex Maloney and Richard Houghton on February 28, 2008 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
– Marketing Alliance Inc ($OTCPK:MAAL)
Hagerty is a provider of specialty insurance for collector vehicles, including cars, trucks, motorcycles, boats, and more. The company has a market cap of $712.39 million and a return on equity of -41.52%. Hagerty was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Traverse City, Michigan.
Summary
Investment analysis of Trupanion, Inc. indicates that the company’s first quarter loss ratio has seen a sudden spike, causing Bank of America to turn neutral on the stock. This news led to the company’s stock price dropping by 17%. Various analysts suggest that while the current situation is concerning, Trupanion’s long-term outlook may remain positive due to its strong market presence and customer loyalty.
In addition, the company’s investments in technology and their ability to adjust to the changing market environment could help strengthen the company’s bottom line. Investors should watch future developments closely and make their decisions accordingly.
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