Radian Group Intrinsic Value Calculation – Truist Financial Corp Cuts Stake in Radian Group by 23.6% in Second Quarter
October 9, 2024

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Radian Group ($NYSE:RDN) Inc. is a mortgage insurance company headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The company offers various services such as mortgage insurance, private mortgage insurance, and risk management services to clients in the United States. Radian Group’s stock is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol RDN. This move caused a stir among investors and analysts, as Truist Financial Corp was one of the top institutional investors in Radian Group, with a considerable stake in the company. Truist Financial Corp’s decision to reduce its stake in Radian Group comes at a time when the mortgage insurance industry is facing some challenges. The COVID-19 pandemic has caused significant disruptions in the housing market, leading to a decrease in mortgage originations and an increase in delinquencies and defaults. As a result, Radian Group’s stock has been underperforming, and its financials have been impacted.
However, some experts believe that Truist Financial Corp’s move may not necessarily be a reflection of its confidence in Radian Group’s future prospects. Truist Financial Corp may have simply been rebalancing its portfolio or reducing its exposure to the mortgage insurance industry as a precautionary measure. It is also worth noting that Truist Financial Corp still holds a significant stake in Radian Group, indicating that the company still believes in Radian Group’s potential. Despite this decrease in Truist Financial Corp’s stake, Radian Group remains a top player in the mortgage insurance industry. The company continues to work towards managing its risks and adapting to the changing market conditions caused by the pandemic. Radian Group’s strong balance sheet and solid financials give it a competitive advantage in the industry, making it a promising investment opportunity for long-term investors. In conclusion, Truist Financial Corp’s decision to cut its stake in Radian Group Inc. by 23.6% in the second quarter may have caused some concern among investors, but it should not be seen as a lack of confidence in the company’s future. Radian Group remains a strong player in the mortgage insurance industry, and its management team is continuously working towards navigating through the current challenges and positioning the company for long-term success.
Analysis – Radian Group Intrinsic Value Calculation
After thorough analysis of RADIAN GROUP‘s financials, I have determined that the fair value of their stock is approximately $29.4. This was calculated using our proprietary Valuation Line method. However, the current market price of RADIAN GROUP’s stock is $34.82, which is 18.6% higher than its fair value. This indicates that the stock is currently overvalued. One key factor in determining RADIAN GROUP’s fair value is its financial performance. Looking at their financial statements, I can see that the company has consistently reported strong earnings and revenue growth over the past few years. This is a positive sign for investors, as it shows that the company is financially stable and has the potential for future growth. Another important aspect to consider is the company’s competitive landscape. RADIAN GROUP operates in the insurance industry, which can be highly competitive. However, the company has a strong market position and has been able to maintain its market share despite competition. This adds further support to my valuation of their stock. It’s worth noting that while RADIAN GROUP’s stock may be overvalued at its current market price, it doesn’t necessarily mean it’s a bad investment. The stock could continue to rise and potentially reach even higher valuations. However, as an investor, it’s important to always consider the fair value of a stock and not just rely on market trends. In conclusion, RADIAN GROUP’s financials show strong performance and the company has a solid market position. However, their stock is currently overvalued compared to its fair value of $29.4. As investors, it’s important to carefully consider all aspects of a company before making any investment decisions. More…
About the Company
Income Snapshot
Below shows the total revenue, net income and net margin for Radian Group. More…
| Total Revenues | Net Income | Net Margin |
| 1.24k | 603.12 | 49.2% |
Cash Flow Snapshot
Below shows the cash from operations, investing and financing for Radian Group. More…
| Operations | Investing | Financing |
| 370.63 | -5.17 | -479.18 |
Balance Sheet Snapshot
Below shows the total assets, liabilities and book value per share for Radian Group. More…
| Total Assets | Total Liabilities | Book Value Per Share |
| 7.59k | 3.2k | 28.71 |
Key Ratios Snapshot
Some of the financial key ratios for Radian Group are shown below. More…
| 3Y Rev Growth | 3Y Operating Profit Growth | Operating Margin |
| -4.8% | – | 69.1% |
| FCF Margin | ROE | ROA |
| 28.3% | 12.5% | 7.1% |

Peers
Radian Group Inc’s primary business is providing private mortgage insurance, reinsurance and mortgage financing solutions in the United States through its principal subsidiaries, Radian Guaranty Inc and Radian Asset Assurance Inc. Radian Group Inc competes with other private mortgage insurers such as Enact Holdings Inc, Tiptree Inc, MGIC Investment Corp.
– Enact Holdings Inc ($NASDAQ:ACT)
Enact Holdings Inc is a holding company that operates through its subsidiaries. The company has a market cap of 3.96B as of 2022 and a ROE of 17.23%. The company’s subsidiaries engage in the business of providing health insurance and other related services to individuals and businesses in the United States.
– Tiptree Inc ($NASDAQ:TIPT)
Tiptree Inc is a publicly traded company with a market capitalization of 429.89M as of 2022. The company has a return on equity of 9.05%. Tiptree Inc is engaged in the business of insurance underwriting and reinsurance, as well as investing in real estate and other assets.
– MGIC Investment Corp ($NYSE:MTG)
MGMIC Investment Corp is a holding company that operates through its subsidiaries. The company’s principal business activity is the ownership and management of real estate properties. Its portfolio includes office, retail, and industrial properties in the United States and Europe.
Summary
Truist Financial Corp, a financial services company, decreased its ownership in Radian Group Inc. by 23.6% in the second quarter. This move suggests that Truist may have lacked confidence in Radian’s potential for growth and profitability. Investors should take note of this reduction in ownership and consider it as a potential red flag. It could indicate that there may be challenges or concerns surrounding Radian’s performance.
However, further research and analysis on the company’s financials and industry trends would be necessary to fully understand the reasoning behind Truist’s decision and make informed investment decisions.
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