Treehouse Foods Stock Fair Value Calculation – TreeHouse Foods Prepares for Q2 Earnings with Anticipation of Decline in Top and Bottom Line
October 17, 2024

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TREEHOUSE ($NYSE:THS): TreeHouse Foods, Inc. (THS) is a leading manufacturer and distributor of private label packaged foods and beverages in North America. As a company, TreeHouse Foods has been facing challenges in recent years, including declining sales and profitability. As the company prepares to release its second quarter earnings report on August 5th, 2024, investors are anticipating a decline in both the top and bottom line. Before diving into the potential impact of the upcoming earnings report on TreeHouse Foods’ stock, it is important to understand the basics of the company and its current financial standing. TreeHouse Foods operates in a highly competitive market, with a diverse portfolio of products that includes snacks, soups, sauces, and beverages. While the company has seen steady growth in previous years, it has faced some setbacks in recent times. As consumers shifted their purchasing habits towards essential items, many private label products saw a decline in demand. This has had a direct impact on TreeHouse Foods’ sales and profitability, as the company heavily relies on its private label business. In addition to the effects of the pandemic, TreeHouse Foods has also been facing challenges in its supply chain and distribution network. The company has had to deal with rising costs for ingredients and transportation, which have put pressure on its margins.
This, coupled with increased competition from branded products, has resulted in a decline in TreeHouse Foods’ market share and overall financial performance. As investors await the Q2 earnings report, there are certain factors to consider before making any investment decisions. Firstly, it will be important to analyze how the company has managed its costs and expenses during this challenging period. Any strategies implemented to mitigate the impact of the pandemic could provide insight into TreeHouse Foods’ resilience and potential for future growth. Another key aspect to watch out for is the company’s guidance for the rest of the year. With uncertainties still surrounding the pandemic and its effects on consumer behavior, TreeHouse Foods’ forecast for the coming months will be closely scrutinized. Any positive indications of recovery could boost investor confidence and have a positive impact on the company’s stock. In conclusion, the upcoming Q2 earnings report for TreeHouse Foods is expected to reflect a decline in both the top and bottom line. As the company navigates through challenging market conditions, it will be crucial for investors to closely monitor its financial performance and outlook for future growth.
Earnings
TreeHouse Foods, a leading food and beverage company, recently released its earnings report for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2023. The report, which covers the period of December 31, 2021, revealed that the company earned a total revenue of 1165.9M USD.
However, there was a significant decline in their net income, with a loss of 29.1M USD. The company is anticipating a decline in both their top and bottom line, which could impact their overall financial performance. This decline is in stark contrast to their previous year’s report, where they experienced a 17.0% increase in total revenue. Looking at the company’s financial performance over the last three years, there has been a downward trend in total revenue. In fact, TREEHOUSE FOODS has experienced a decline from 1165.9M USD to 910.8M USD in total revenue during this period. This further highlights the need for the company to carefully manage their expenses and improve their revenue streams in order to sustain their growth. The company will also need to focus on implementing strategies that will drive growth and improve their financial performance in the long term.
About the Company
Income Snapshot
Below shows the total revenue, net income and net margin for Treehouse Foods. More…
| Total Revenues | Net Income | Net Margin |
| 3.43k | 53.1 | 1.7% |
Cash Flow Snapshot
Below shows the cash from operations, investing and financing for Treehouse Foods. More…
| Operations | Investing | Financing |
| 157.3 | 226.7 | -107.5 |
Balance Sheet Snapshot
Below shows the total assets, liabilities and book value per share for Treehouse Foods. More…
| Total Assets | Total Liabilities | Book Value Per Share |
| 4.11k | 2.44k | 30.77 |
Key Ratios Snapshot
Some of the financial key ratios for Treehouse Foods are shown below. More…
| 3Y Rev Growth | 3Y Operating Profit Growth | Operating Margin |
| -7.6% | -12.7% | 4.6% |
| FCF Margin | ROE | ROA |
| 0.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
Price History
On Friday, the company’s stock opened at $40.9 and closed at $40.82, showing a slight increase of 0.29% from the previous closing price of $40.7. This announcement comes after the company’s first quarter earnings report in which it reported a decline in both net sales and net income compared to the same quarter last year. With this trend continuing into the second quarter, TreeHouse Foods is preparing itself for potential challenges and taking steps to mitigate any adverse effects on its financial performance. The pandemic has caused disruptions in global supply chains, affecting the availability and cost of raw materials and ingredients for TreeHouse Foods. This, in turn, has impacted the company’s production and distribution processes, leading to potential revenue and profit losses.
Additionally, TreeHouse Foods is also facing increased competition in the food and beverage industry, putting pressure on its pricing and margins. As consumer preferences continue to evolve and demand for healthier and more sustainable food options increases, the company may face challenges in meeting these changing demands while maintaining profitability. In light of these potential challenges, TreeHouse Foods is taking proactive measures to mitigate their impact on its financial performance. The company is focusing on optimizing its supply chain, exploring cost-saving initiatives, and investing in new product development to meet changing consumer preferences. The company’s strong brand portfolio, strategic partnerships, and cost-saving initiatives position it well for future growth and success in the highly competitive food and beverage industry. The market will be eagerly watching the company’s second quarter earnings report to see how it navigates through these challenges and sets itself up for future success. Live Quote…
Analysis – Treehouse Foods Stock Fair Value Calculation
As an analyst at GoodWhale, I have conducted a thorough analysis of TREEHOUSE FOODS and have identified key points about the company’s fundamentals. These points include factors such as revenue, earnings, and market trends. After analyzing the data, we have determined that the fair value of TREEHOUSE FOODS share is approximately $39.6. This valuation is based on our proprietary Valuation Line, which takes into account various financial metrics and industry benchmarks. Currently, TREEHOUSE FOODS stock is trading at $40.82, indicating that it is overvalued by 3.0%. This means that the market price of the stock is higher than its fair value, which can be a cause for concern for investors. It is important to note that overvalued stocks may not necessarily be a bad investment as market conditions can change and potentially help the stock reach its fair value. However, it is always prudent for investors to carefully consider the fundamentals of a company before making investment decisions. In conclusion, based on our analysis, TREEHOUSE FOODS appears to be slightly overvalued at its current stock price. Investors should closely monitor market trends and company performance to make informed decisions about their investments in this stock. More…

Peers
The company was founded in 2004 and offers a variety of food products, including condiments, snacks, and meal kits. The company’s products are sold under a number of brand names, including Treehouse, Mrs. Dash, and Orville Redenbacher’s. The company has a number of competitors in the food manufacturing industry, including Bega Cheese Ltd, Post Holdings Inc, and JM Smucker Co.
– Bega Cheese Ltd ($ASX:BGA)
Bega Cheese Ltd is an Australian cheese manufacturer. The company has a market cap of 1.02 billion as of 2022 and a return on equity of 2.08%. The company produces a variety of cheeses, including cheddar, mozzarella, Swiss, and Parmesan. It also produces processed cheese, butter, and cream.
– Post Holdings Inc ($NYSE:POST)
Post Holdings Inc is a food and beverage company that manufactures, markets, and sells branded packaged foods in the United States. The company has a market cap of $5.5 billion and a return on equity of 22.81%. The company’s products include cereal, granola, oatmeal, pancakes, breading, croutons, and condiments. The company’s brands include Post, Shredded Wheat, Great Grains, Honey Bunches of Oats, Raisin Bran, Grape-Nuts, and Honey Comb.
– JM Smucker Co ($NYSE:SJM)
The J.M. Smucker Company has a market capitalization of $15.94 billion as of March 2022 and a return on equity of 7.03%. The company produces and markets food and beverage products, including coffee, peanut butter, shortening and oils, ice cream toppings, frozen juices and drinks, canned fruits and vegetables, condiments, and baking mixes under the following brand names: Smucker’s, Folgers, Dunkin’ Donuts, Jif, Crisco, Pillsbury, R.W. Knudsen Family, Hungry Jack, Café Bustelo, Martha White, truRoots, Sahale Snacks, Robin Hood, and Bick’s.
Summary
TreeHouse Foods, Inc. is expected to report a decrease in both revenue and profits for the second quarter of 2024 when it releases its earnings on August 5th. Investors should pay attention to several key factors before making any investment decisions, including the company’s revenue and profit margins, as well as any changes in consumer trends or market conditions that could affect sales. Additionally, investors should consider the company’s financial health and future growth potential. Overall, a thorough analysis of these factors is crucial for making informed investment decisions in TreeHouse Foods.
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