Dollar Tree Intrinsic Value Calculator – CFRA Slashes Dollar Tree Rating to Sell, Citing Challenges Ahead for FY24.

February 1, 2023

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Dollar Tree Intrinsic Value Calculator – Dollar Tree ($NASDAQ:DLTR), Inc. is an American chain of discount variety stores that offers a wide range of products, including health and beauty items, toys, housewares, and seasonal items, at a fixed price of just one dollar. The company’s stock (DLTR) is traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market. Recently, CFRA revised its rating for Dollar Tree from Hold to Sell, citing potential difficulties in FY24. The firm highlighted that the discount retailer may experience inflationary pressures in labor and store overhead, as well as a negative sales mix shift to lower-margin consumable products. Furthermore, Dollar Tree’s Family Dollar business may require more store, labor, and price investments. Inflationary pressures on Dollar Tree could be significant due to rising wages, which would increase the cost of labor and store overhead. The company could also experience a negative sales mix shift as customers purchase more lower-margin consumable products than higher-margin non-consumable products. Additionally, the Family Dollar business may require additional investments in store operations and pricing in order to remain competitive. Moreover, the competition in the discount retail sector has intensified as new players enter the market and existing players expand their presence. This increased competition could lead to lower sales growth for Dollar Tree.

In addition, the company faces challenges such as supply chain disruptions due to changing consumer preferences and the ongoing trade war with China. Investors should keep an eye on how the company responds to these challenges and assess whether or not it will be able to remain competitive in the discount retail market.

Stock Price

The stock opened at $149.0 and closed at $150.2, up by 0.9% from the last closing price of $148.8. The rating cut was mainly due to the company’s weak financial performance and the fact that it is likely to struggle to achieve the same level of growth as in previous years. As a discount retailer, DOLLAR TREE has faced increased competition from online sources, including Amazon and Walmart, as well as other brick-and-mortar retailers. The company has also been impacted by the ongoing pandemic, with sales being affected by store closures and supply chain disruptions. In addition, the company is expected to face further pressure in the coming months due to rising labor costs and increasing price competition from larger rivals. This could lead to a further decline in the company’s profit margins and a drop in overall sales. Furthermore, the company is likely to face headwinds from the current economic downturn, which could further weaken its already fragile financial position. Despite these challenges, DOLLAR TREE remains committed to its long-term strategy and is confident that it can continue to offer customers value through its low-priced products. The company’s decision to focus on cost-cutting initiatives and expanding its digital presence could help it to navigate the current difficult environment.

However, investors should be aware of the company’s current challenges and their potential impact on its future performance. Live Quote…

About the Company

  • Industry Classification
  • Key Executives
  • Ownership (Institutional/ Fund Holdings)
  • News Feed
  • Income Snapshot

    Below shows the total revenue, net income and net margin for Dollar Tree. More…

    Total Revenues Net Income Net Margin
    27.69k 1.62k 5.8%
  • Income Statement Reports (Yearly/ Quarterly/ LTM)
  • Income Supplement
  • Growth Performance
  • Cash Flow Snapshot

    Below shows the cash from operations, investing and financing for Dollar Tree. More…

    Operations Investing Financing
    1.15k -1.2k -192.7
  • Cash Flow Statement (Yearly/ Quarterly/ LTM)
  • Cash Flow Supplement
  • Balance Sheet Snapshot

    Below shows the total assets, liabilities and book value per share for Dollar Tree. More…

    Total Assets Total Liabilities Book Value Per Share
    22.91k 14.63k 37.41
  • Balance Sheet (Yearly/ Quarterly)
  • Balance Sheet Supplement
  • Key Ratios Snapshot

    Some of the financial key ratios for Dollar Tree are shown below. More…

    3Y Rev Growth 3Y Operating Profit Growth Operating Margin
    5.6% 11.3% 7.9%
    FCF Margin ROE ROA
    -0.2% 16.5% 6.0%
  • Income Statement Ratios
  • Balance Sheet Ratios
  • Cash Flow Ratios
  • Valuation Ratios
  • Other Ratios
  • Other Supplementary Items
  • VI Analysis – Dollar Tree Intrinsic Value Calculator

    Investors looking to analyze the fundamentals of Dollar Tree can now easily do so with VI’s app. Our proprietary VI Line indicates that the fair value of a share in Dollar Tree is currently around $129.1. However, at the moment, the Dollar Tree stock is being traded at $150.2, which is a 16.3% overvaluation of the fair price. This implies that investors should consider whether the current price offers good long-term potential or not. The VI Line is a combination of different metrics including earnings, dividends, and cash flows to determine the fair value of a particular stock. It also takes into account the company’s growth prospects and the impact of macroeconomic factors such as inflation and interest rates. Additionally, VI’s app can also provide investors with comprehensive financial data on Dollar Tree, such as balance sheets and income statements. Ultimately, Dollar Tree is a well-established company with a long history of profitability and steady growth. That being said, investors should still do their due diligence before investing in the stock and make sure that the current price offers good long-term potential. With VI’s app, it is easier than ever to analyze the fundamentals of Dollar Tree and come to an informed decision. More…

  • Risk Rating Analysis
  • Star Chart Analysis
  • Valuation Analysis
  • VI Peers

    The company offers a variety of merchandise at a single price point of $1.00. Dollar Tree Inc competes with other discount retailers such as Dollar General Corp, Target Corp, and Seria Co Ltd.

    – Dollar General Corp ($NYSE:DG)

    Dollar General Corporation is an American chain of variety stores headquartered in Goodlettsville, Tennessee. As of July 2020, Dollar General operated 16,320 stores in the continental United States. The company first began as a family-owned business in 1939. Today, Dollar General is one of the largest discount retailers in the United States. The company’s mission is to provide customers with “high-quality, low-cost products and services in a convenient location and friendly manner.”

    – Target Corp ($NYSE:TGT)

    Target Corp is an American retail corporation that operates Target stores, a chain of hypermarkets. As of 2022, it has a market cap of 75.6B and a ROE of 34.09%. The company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Target stores are located in the United States, Canada, and India.

    – Seria Co Ltd ($TSE:2782)

    Seria Co Ltd is a Japanese conglomerate with a market cap of 182.98B as of 2022. The company has a diversified business portfolio and has a strong presence in the Japanese economy. The company has a return on equity of 13.73%. The company has a strong financial position and is well-positioned to continue its growth in the future.

    Summary

    Dollar Tree is facing potential challenges ahead in FY24, according to analysis by CFRA. As a result, CFRA has downgraded its rating of the company to “Sell.” Investors should be cautious when considering Dollar Tree as an investment option. The company has seen increased competition from general retailers and online stores, including Amazon, and is facing a difficult economic environment that could further pressure sales.

    Additionally, Dollar Tree has been facing higher labor costs due to minimum wage increases and supply chain disruptions from the pandemic. Investors should closely monitor the company’s performance over the coming year to assess whether it can overcome these obstacles.

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