Macy’s: Anticipating Strong Q1 Earnings Results with Recent Improvements
May 26, 2023

☀️ Macy’s upcoming earnings call for Q1 2023 is highly anticipated by investors and analysts alike. Scheduled for June 1st at 8:00 AM EST, the report will reveal the financials for the first quarter of 2023 and provide insights into the performance of one of the largest department store chains in the United States.
Amidst improving economic conditions across most regions in the country, Macy’s is expected to deliver strong results with positive year-over-year growth. In this article, we will analyze various aspects of Macy’s business and provide insights into what to expect from the upcoming earnings report.
Fundamental Analysis
| ReportDate | NetIncome | TotalRevenue | DilutedEPS | unit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 | 2023-01-31 | 509.0 | 8526.0 | 1.83 | million USD |
| Q3 | 2022-10-31 | 108.0 | 5436.0 | 0.39 | million USD |
| Q2 | 2022-07-31 | 275.0 | 5804.0 | 0.99 | million USD |
| Q1 | 2022-04-30 | 286.0 | 5539.0 | 0.98 | million USD |
| Q4 | 2022-01-31 | 743.0 | 8930.0 | 2.44 | million USD |
Macy’s recent financial results reflect an upward trend with significant year-over-year growth in net income and diluted earnings per share (EPS). Net Income for Q4 of 2022 was reported to be $509.0 million as opposed to $286.0 million for Q1 2022, representing a massive 78.3% YoY increase. Similarly, the diluted EPS for Q4 2022 was reported to be $1.83 as compared to $0.98 for Q1 2022, indicating strong growth in profitability.
Moreover, we can observe a rise in total revenue across the past four quarters – reflecting the increasing demand for Macy’s products among its customers. Assuming this trend continues in Q1 2023, the company will demonstrate a sustained recovery from its significant losses in 2020.
In the past, Macy’s has been a leading retail store chain due to its dynamic strategies, including expanding its digital initiatives, increasing store productivity, and investing in new technology. These forward-looking initiatives should hold even more importance going forward to position Macy’s as a successful retail brand in a post-pandemic world. Therefore, fundamental analysis suggests that Macy’s has strong potential to deliver positive results in the upcoming earnings call.
Technical Analysis
| since | low | high | change | change% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1D | 2023-05-24 | 14.9 | 15.9 | 0.4 | 2.8 |
| 5D | 2023-05-18 | 14.7 | 15.9 | -0.7 | -4.3 |
| 1M | 2023-04-25 | 14.5 | 16.9 | -1.1 | -7.0 |
| 3M | 2023-02-21 | 14.5 | 23.2 | -5.6 | -27.1 |
Talking about the recent stock movement, the share price of Macy’s has declined over the past three months, after reaching a high of $23.2 in February 2023. However, in the previous five days leading up to May 24th, 2023, the stock price has increased by 2.8%. Therefore, technical analysis suggests that there may be potential for a rebound in stock prices in anticipation of a strong Macy’s earnings report.
Historical Guidance
Macy’s has a history of providing cautious guidance, frequently lower than analyst estimates, on both the top and bottom lines. Furthermore, the company has missed earnings expectations in several previous quarters, which may have contributed to the general lack of appeal among investors. This quarter, management is expected to explore new approaches to gain sustained momentum and promote sales amidst consumer caution and the post-pandemic economic dynamics.
Analysts Estimates
The consensus among analysts is that Macy’s will deliver Q1 2023 adjusted earnings of $0.36 per share. This estimate is derived from an average of 21 analysts’ predictions. Revenue is anticipated to be $5.4 billion – a YoY decline by roughly 2%.
Furthermore, Macys’ management expects to release full-year fiscal 2023 guidance in coordination with the earnings report, which will include a digital platform and product innovation strategy.
Conclusion
In summary, the upcoming Macy’s earnings call scheduled on June 1st provides an excellent opportunity for investors and analysts to gauge the company’s performance, evaluate its growth trajectory and determine its ability to succeed in a post-pandemic world. Several indicators suggest that Macy’s is on track to demonstrate positive growth after adapting and sustaining through one of the most challenging years for retail. While several uncertainties remain around pandemic resurgence and inflationary pressures, investors are closely watching this report for guidance.
Given the role of community of Macy’s shoppers across the United States and its standing as America’s premier department store chain, the earnings call remains a much-anticipated event for its investors and stakeholders. Based on current data, the future looks bright for Macy’s, and this earnings report could solidify that viewpoint even further. And considering the recent positive sentiments surrounding the earnings call, it is sure to be one to tune into.
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