Navient Corporation’s Stock Target Cut as Loan Loss Provisions Impact Q3 Results, Analysts Maintain Sell Rating
November 5, 2024

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Navient Corporation ($NASDAQ:NAVI), a publicly traded company, is a leading provider of loan management, servicing, and asset recovery services. This Delaware-based corporation primarily focuses on education loans and is one of the largest student loan servicers in the United States. With a significant presence in the market, Navient’s performance is closely monitored by analysts and investors alike.
However, recent developments have caused concern among analysts, leading to a revision of Navient’s stock target. On Friday, TD Cowen, a well-respected financial services firm, announced a reduction in Navient’s stock target from $14.00 to $13.00. This decision was based on Navient’s third-quarter results, which were impacted by loan loss provisions. Analysts at TD Cowen have maintained a Sell rating on Navient despite the downward revision of the stock target. This indicates their lack of confidence in the company’s performance and future prospects. The decision to lower the price target highlights their belief that Navient’s stock is overvalued and may not yield significant returns for investors. The main factor behind this change is the impact of loan loss provisions on Navient’s Q3 results. These provisions are set aside by the company to cover potential losses from loans that may not be repaid by borrowers. According to TD Cowen, Navient’s loan loss provisions have increased significantly, affecting its financial performance and shareholder value. Navient’s stock target cut highlights the concerns surrounding the company’s performance and its ability to manage loan defaults in the current economic climate. Despite being one of the largest student loan servicers in the US, Navient’s performance has been affected by the current economic climate and the potential increase in loan defaults. As a result, analysts at TD Cowen have maintained a Sell rating on Navient’s stock and lowered their price target, signaling caution for investors.
Share Price
On Monday, NAVIENT CORPORATION‘s stock opened at $13.93 and closed at $14.19, representing a 1.43% increase from its last closing price of $13.99. This slight increase in stock price comes after the company’s third quarter results were released, which showed a decrease in profits due to increased loan loss provisions. Analysts have also maintained their sell rating on the company, stating that the loan loss provisions will continue to impact NAVIENT’s financial performance in the near future. These provisions are set aside to cover potential losses from loans that may default, and their increase suggests that the company is anticipating a higher number of defaults on its loans. As a result of this, analysts have cut their stock target for NAVIENT CORPORATION, indicating a lack of confidence in the company’s ability to improve its financial performance in the short term. This decrease in stock target could potentially deter investors from purchasing NAVIENT’s stock, as it implies a lower expected return on investment.
The company’s Q3 results also showed a decline in revenue, as lower interest income and decreased loan originations weighed on its overall financial performance. This adds to the concerns raised by analysts, as it suggests that NAVIENT may struggle to generate significant profits in the current economic climate. Overall, the combination of increased loan loss provisions and a decline in revenue has led to a less optimistic outlook for NAVIENT CORPORATION’s stock. Despite the slight increase in stock price on Monday, analysts’ sell rating and reduced stock target highlight the challenges that the company is facing and the potential for further negative impacts on its financial performance in the future. Live Quote…
About the Company
Income Snapshot
Below shows the total revenue, net income and net margin for Navient Corporation. More…
| Total Revenues | Net Income | Net Margin |
| 1.28k | 228 | 24.4% |
Cash Flow Snapshot
Below shows the cash from operations, investing and financing for Navient Corporation. More…
| Operations | Investing | Financing |
| 573 | 10.59k | -9.66k |
Balance Sheet Snapshot
Below shows the total assets, liabilities and book value per share for Navient Corporation. More…
| Total Assets | Total Liabilities | Book Value Per Share |
| 61.38k | 58.62k | 23.48 |
Key Ratios Snapshot
Some of the financial key ratios for Navient Corporation are shown below. More…
| 3Y Rev Growth | 3Y Operating Profit Growth | Operating Margin |
| -8.8% | – | – |
| FCF Margin | ROE | ROA |
| 44.8% | 6.9% | 0.3% |
Analysis
After conducting a thorough analysis of NAVIENT CORPORATION‘s financials, I have come to the conclusion that this company falls under the category of ‘cow’ according to our Star Chart. This means that NAVIENT CORPORATION has a track record of consistently and sustainably paying out dividends to its investors. This makes NAVIENT CORPORATION an attractive option for investors who are looking for a steady source of income through dividends. Typically, these investors are more risk-averse and prioritize a stable return on their investment rather than high growth potential. In terms of financial health, NAVIENT CORPORATION has received an intermediate health score of 5/10. This takes into consideration factors such as cashflows and debt. However, it is important to note that this score does not indicate any potential for bankruptcy in the near future. Rather, it suggests that NAVIENT CORPORATION may be able to weather any economic downturns or crises without facing the risk of bankruptcy. Upon further analysis, it can be seen that NAVIENT CORPORATION’s strengths lie in its dividend payouts. This is evident from its track record and classification as a ‘cow’ company. However, it may not be as strong in areas such as asset management, growth potential, and profitability. Overall, NAVIENT CORPORATION may be a suitable choice for investors who prioritize consistent dividend payouts and are comfortable with a moderate level of financial risk. More…

Peers
It is a for-profit company and one of the four largest providers of student loans in the United States. The other three companies are SLM Corp, Nelnet Inc, and Capital Trade Links Ltd.
– SLM Corp ($NASDAQ:SLM)
SLM Corp is a financial services company that specializes in student loan management and servicing. The company has a market cap of $3.88 billion as of 2022. SLM Corp is headquartered in Newark, Delaware and has operations in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United Kingdom. The company services over $300 billion in student loans for over 10 million borrowers.
– Nelnet Inc ($NYSE:NNI)
Nelnet is a publicly traded student loan servicing company headquartered in Lincoln, Nebraska. Nelnet serviced $247 billion in student loans as of December 31, 2019. It is the second largest student loan servicer in the United States behind Navient. The company also provides Tuition Payment Plans and Guaranteed Asset Protection insurance.
– Capital Trade Links Ltd ($BSE:538476)
As of 2022, Capital Trade Links Ltd has a market cap of 833.6M and a ROE of 4.14%. The company is engaged in the business of providing trade financing and support services to clients in the international trade market. It offers a range of services including trade financing, export financing, import financing, and risk management. The company has a strong focus on providing quality services to its clients and has a reputation for being a reliable and trustworthy partner in the international trade market.
Summary
TD Cowen, an investment firm, has maintained a Sell rating on Navient Corporation and reduced the price target from $14.00 to $13.00. This comes after Navient’s Q3 results were released and showed higher loan loss provisions, which may negatively impact the company’s stock. As a result, TD Cowen believes that the stock may not perform well in the near future and advises investors to sell their shares. This analysis suggests that Navient may face challenges in its financial performance and that investors should be cautious when investing in the company.
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