Japan Post Intrinsic Value – Japan Post’s $12 Billion Triple IPO Tests Optimism in Interest Rates.

March 4, 2023

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Japan Post Intrinsic Value – The 2015 triple initial public offering of the Japan Post ($TSE:6178) Group, by the Japanese government, is an undertaking of great significance. Valued at a staggering $12 billion, this IPO was meant to stimulate economic efficiency in the Japanese market. Now, with the result of the deal and its ongoing performance in question, the success of this venture is a test of optimism in the effectiveness of interest rates. With the interest rate on Japanese government bonds falling to a record low amid global uncertainty, many investors are hesitant to invest in such a large and risky venture. Furthermore, if the interest rate environment fails to improve, the stock prices of Japan Post may suffer. It can be said that the success or failure of Japan Post’s triple IPO will depend on the market’s perception of the efficacy and stability of interest rates. This makes it an extremely important development in terms of gauging the amount of confidence being placed in the future of monetary policy. Until investors have a better understanding of the prospects of this venture and the return on investment it provides, interest in Japan Post will likely be fairly limited.

However, should the IPO prove to be successful, it would be a major milestone for Japan’s economic recovery.

Market Price

Japan Post‘s $12 Billion Triple IPO tested investor optimism in current low-interest rate environment on Tuesday. The media has largely been positive in its coverage of the IPO, with many analysts seeing the opportunity as a can’t miss proposition. The company, which is listed on Tokyo Stock Exchange and comprised of Japan Post Holdings Co., Japan Post Bank Co., and Japan Post Insurance Co., saw its respective stocks open at JP¥1222.5 and close at JP¥1210.0, a 1.6% drop from the last closing price of 1229.5. Despite the drop, many view the IPO as a success, with Japan Post’s share prices likely to rise in the long-term. Live Quote…

About the Company

  • Industry Classification
  • Key Executives
  • Ownership (Institutional/ Fund Holdings)
  • News Feed
  • Income Snapshot

    Below shows the total revenue, net income and net margin for Japan Post. More…

    Total Revenues Net Income Net Margin
    474.51k
  • Income Statement Reports (Yearly/ Quarterly/ LTM)
  • Income Supplement
  • Growth Performance
  • Cash Flow Snapshot

    Below shows the cash from operations, investing and financing for Japan Post. More…

    Operations Investing Financing
    4.98M 1.41M -621.04k
  • Cash Flow Statement (Yearly/ Quarterly/ LTM)
  • Cash Flow Supplement
  • Balance Sheet Snapshot

    Below shows the total assets, liabilities and book value per share for Japan Post. More…

    Total Assets Total Liabilities Book Value Per Share
    293.99M 280.75M
  • Balance Sheet (Yearly/ Quarterly)
  • Balance Sheet Supplement
  • Key Ratios Snapshot

    Some of the financial key ratios for Japan Post are shown below. More…

    3Y Rev Growth 3Y Operating Profit Growth Operating Margin
    -4.1%
    FCF Margin ROE ROA
  • Income Statement Ratios
  • Balance Sheet Ratios
  • Cash Flow Ratios
  • Valuation Ratios
  • Other Ratios
  • Other Supplementary Items
  • Analysis – Japan Post Intrinsic Value

    At GoodWhale, we conducted a thorough analysis of JAPAN POST‘s fundamentals to determine its intrinsic value. According to our proprietary Valuation Line, the intrinsic value of JAPAN POST share is around JP¥999.2. In comparison, JAPAN POST’s current stock price is JP¥1210.0, which is overvalued by 21.1%. As such, investors should remain cautious when considering JAPAN POST as part of their portfolios. More…

  • Risk Rating Analysis
  • Star Chart Analysis
  • Valuation Analysis
  • Peers

    Japan Post Holdings Co Ltd is in a fiercely competitive market, with rivals such as Renasant Corp, Evans Bancorp Inc, and Credit Agricole Alpes Provence all vying for a share of the market. Each company has its own distinct strengths, and the competition between them is intense. For Japan Post Holdings Co Ltd to succeed, it must focus on staying ahead of the competition by providing quality services and products to customers.

    – Renasant Corp ($NASDAQ:RNST)

    Renasant Corp is a financial services and banking institution based in Mississippi and it is the parent company of Renasant Bank. As of 2023, the company has a market cap of 1.95B. With a market capitalization of 1.95B, Renasant Corp is one of the largest in its industry, demonstrating the trust and stability of the bank. Renasant Corp provides a range of banking services, including personal banking, business banking, wealth management, and insurance services. The company has been serving customers since 1904, and it has over 200 branches across Mississippi, Tennessee, Alabama, and Georgia.

    – Evans Bancorp Inc ($NYSEAM:EVBN)

    Evans Bancorp Inc is a regional financial services company headquartered in Hamburg, New York. It has a market cap of 217.08M as of 2023. The company operates through its banking subsidiary, Evans Bank, N.A., which provides financial services to individuals and businesses in western New York. The company offers a variety of banking services including personal and business banking, mortgages, wealth management, commercial lending and trust services. Evans Bancorp Inc is dedicated to providing quality financial services to its customers and is committed to the communities it serves.

    – Credit Agricole Alpes Provence ($LTS:0O3R)

    Credit Agricole Alpes Provence is a French banking group based in the region of Provence-Alpes-Cote d’Azur. As of 2023, it has a market cap of 527.83M. It provides a wide range of financial services including retail banking, asset management, corporate banking, insurance, investment banking and private equity. The company also operates in the fields of real estate and structured financing. Its network consists of over 600 local branches located throughout France. Credit Agricole Alpes Provence is part of the larger Credit Agricole Group, one of the largest banking groups in Europe. The group is committed to providing its customers with innovative solutions and services that meet their needs.

    Summary

    Investing in Japan Post‘s $12 billion triple IPO is proving to be a test of investor confidence in the current low-interest rate environment. Despite the apprehension, media coverage has been overwhelmingly positive, suggesting a strong outlook for the company’s future performance. Analysts expect the firm to benefit from the increased demand for postal services related to the e-commerce boom, as well as rising demand for its banking and insurance products. As investors await its first earnings reports, Japan Post is likely to remain in the spotlight.

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