Triumph Group Intrinsic Value Calculation – Triumph Group’s Stock Receives “Hold” Rating from Leading Analysts

September 7, 2024

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Triumph Group ($NYSE:TGI), Inc. is a leading provider of aerospace components and systems for the aviation industry. The company offers a wide range of products and services, including aircraft structures, engines, and components, as well as maintenance, repair, and overhaul services. Recently, Triumph Group’s stock received a “Hold” rating from leading analysts. This comes after nine research firms have covered the company and reached a consensus on their recommendation. A “Hold” rating indicates that the stock is expected to perform at a moderate pace and may not be the strongest option for investors at the moment. Despite this rating, Triumph Group has had a strong performance in the market, with its stock price steadily increasing over the past few months. This can be attributed to the company’s strong financials and positive outlook for the future.

However, analysts may have concerns about the company’s growth potential in the current economic climate. Moreover, some analysts may have reservations about Triumph Group’s recent acquisition of several companies, which could potentially impact their financial stability and future performance. This could explain the “Hold” rating, as analysts may want to wait and see how these acquisitions play out before fully endorsing the stock. It is important to note that a “Hold” rating is not necessarily negative. It simply suggests that the stock may not be the most attractive option for investors at this time. It is up to individual investors to carefully consider their options and make informed decisions based on their own risk tolerance and investment goals. While their stock may have received a “Hold” rating from analysts, it is ultimately up to investors to make their own assessments and determine if this is the right investment opportunity for them.

Share Price

On Tuesday, the stock of aviation and aerospace company Triumph Group opened at $13.78 and closed at $13.56, down by 2.66% from its previous closing price of $13.93. This drop in stock price was attributed to a recent report from leading analysts, who have given Triumph Group’s stock a “hold” rating. A “hold” rating from analysts typically signifies that they believe the stock will perform at par with the overall market. This rating is often given when analysts do not see any significant potential for the stock to outperform or underperform in the near future. It is worth noting that a “hold” rating is seen as neutral and does not necessarily mean that the stock is a bad investment. Despite the dip in stock price, Triumph Group’s stock has been performing relatively well in recent months.

However, the analysts’ “hold” rating indicates that they do not foresee any major positive or negative developments for the stock in the immediate future. With travel restrictions and reduced demand for air travel, many companies in the aerospace and aviation sector have been struggling. Triumph Group, being a major player in this industry, may also be facing similar challenges. It is important to note that analysts’ ratings are not always accurate and should not be the sole factor in making investment decisions. The stock market is volatile and can be influenced by various factors, both internal and external to a company. Therefore, investors should conduct their own thorough research and consider multiple sources of information before making any investment decisions. In conclusion, while Triumph Group’s stock may have received a “hold” rating from leading analysts, it is important for investors to conduct their own research and consider various factors before making any investment decisions. The stock’s recent performance and the ongoing challenges faced by the aviation industry may have influenced the analysts’ rating, but it is not a guarantee of the stock’s future performance. Live Quote…

About the Company

  • Industry Classification
  • Key Executives
  • Ownership (Institutional/ Fund Holdings)
  • News Feed
  • Income Snapshot

    Below shows the total revenue, net income and net margin for Triumph Group. More…

    Total Revenues Net Income Net Margin
    1.41k -52.9 -1.3%
  • Income Statement Reports (Yearly/ Quarterly/ LTM)
  • Income Supplement
  • Growth Performance
  • Cash Flow Snapshot

    Below shows the cash from operations, investing and financing for Triumph Group. More…

    Operations Investing Financing
    -8.23 -33.49 99.45
  • Cash Flow Statement (Yearly/ Quarterly/ LTM)
  • Cash Flow Supplement
  • Balance Sheet Snapshot

    Below shows the total assets, liabilities and book value per share for Triumph Group. More…

    Total Assets Total Liabilities Book Value Per Share
    1.68k 2.35k -8.72
  • Balance Sheet (Yearly/ Quarterly)
  • Balance Sheet Supplement
  • Key Ratios Snapshot

    Some of the financial key ratios for Triumph Group are shown below. More…

    3Y Rev Growth 3Y Operating Profit Growth Operating Margin
    -12.4% 17.8% 7.7%
    FCF Margin ROE ROA
    -2.3% -10.1% 4.1%
  • Income Statement Ratios
  • Balance Sheet Ratios
  • Cash Flow Ratios
  • Valuation Ratios
  • Other Ratios
  • Other Supplementary Items
  • Analysis – Triumph Group Intrinsic Value Calculation

    After carefully analyzing TRIUMPH GROUP‘s current state of wellbeing, we have determined that the company’s intrinsic value is around $14.7 per share. This value was calculated using our proprietary Valuation Line, which takes into account various financial indicators and market trends. It is worth noting that TRIUMPH GROUP’s stock is currently trading at $13.56 per share, which indicates that it is undervalued by approximately 7.5%. This suggests that the current market price does not fully reflect the true worth of the company. In order to arrive at our valuation, we looked at several key factors such as the company’s financial performance, industry outlook, and management strategies. We also took into consideration any potential risks and challenges that could impact the company’s future growth. Based on our analysis, we believe that TRIUMPH GROUP has strong fundamentals and a solid position in the market. The company has a strong track record of delivering consistent earnings and has a diversified portfolio of products and services, which helps mitigate any potential risks. Furthermore, TRIUMPH GROUP has a strong leadership team in place, with a clear vision for the future and a strong focus on innovation and growth. This, coupled with its healthy financials and market position, leads us to believe that the company has a bright future ahead. In conclusion, we believe that TRIUMPH GROUP’s stock is currently undervalued and presents a good investment opportunity for shareholders. The company’s strong fundamentals, solid management, and potential for growth make it an attractive option for those looking to invest in the aerospace and defense industry. More…

  • Star Chart Analysis
  • Valuation Analysis




  • Peers

    Their primary competitors include TAT Technologies Ltd, Montana Aerospace AG, and Curtiss-Wright Corp. All four of these companies specialize in providing innovative solutions to the aerospace and defense industries.

    – TAT Technologies Ltd ($NASDAQ:TATT)

    TAT Technologies Ltd is a leading global provider of services and products to the commercial and military aerospace and ground defense industries. The company has a market capitalization of 49.96M as of 2022. This market cap is a measure of the company’s total value and is calculated by multiplying its share price by the number of its outstanding shares. The company’s return on equity (ROE) for 2022 was -3.59%. This shows that the company’s management has been unsuccessful in generating profits from its investors’ capital. TAT Technologies Ltd focuses on providing solutions for aircraft maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO), as well as production of heat transfer solutions and other related products.

    – Montana Aerospace AG ($LTS:0AAI)

    Montana Aerospace AG is a technology company based in Switzerland that specializes in aerospace components and systems. The company has a market cap of 882.67M as of 2022, which is a testament to its success, as it ranks among the top aerospace companies in the world. Montana Aerospace AG has also been able to maintain a negative Return on Equity (ROE) of -2.36%, indicating that the company is not utilizing its assets and equity efficiently. This is a sign of potential financial distress, as the company may not be able to generate enough returns to cover its costs and make profits. However, the company remains well-positioned to benefit from the growing aerospace industry.

    – Curtiss-Wright Corp ($NYSE:CW)

    Curtiss-Wright Corp is a US-based aerospace and defense company that provides highly engineered products and services to the global aerospace, defense, power generation and general industrial markets. As of 2022, the company has a market cap of 6.35B and a return on equity of 12.86%. The company has a strong track record of delivering superior returns for shareholders, and its success is reflected in its market capitalization. Curtiss-Wright is well positioned to continue to capitalize on the opportunities presented by the global aerospace and defense industry, as well as the broader industrial markets.

    Summary

    Several research firms have recently provided their analysis on Triumph Group, Inc., with the majority giving a “Hold” rating. This suggests a neutral stance towards the company’s stock. While no firms have given a strong positive or negative recommendation, it indicates that Triumph Group’s performance is not expected to deviate significantly from the market. Investors should also consider the company’s recent financial results and future outlook before making any investment decisions.

    Additional research and analysis may be necessary to fully understand the potential risks and opportunities of investing in Triumph Group. Overall, the consensus among analysts is to hold onto Triumph Group for now.

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